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A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of a system of birth and death processes in mean field type interaction in discrete space. We first establish the exponential convergence of the particle system to equilibrium for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Marie-Noémie Thai

We study multi-type Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional reproduction laws using various analytical tools like contour process, spinal representation, Perron-Frobenius theorem for countable matrices, renewal theory. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Serik Sagitov

A multi-type branching process is introduced to mimic the evolution of the avalanche activity and determine the critical density of the Abelian Manna model. This branching process incorporates partially the spatio-temporal correlations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-27 Nanxin Wei , Gunnar Pruessner

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

Motivated by a seminal paper of Kesten et al. (1975) we consider a branching process with a geometric offspring distribution with i.i.d. random environmental parameters $A_n$, $n\ge 1$ and size -1 immigration in each generation. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

We analyze the stationary tail of a fixed-point equation arising in branching processes with state-independent immigration, when both immigration and offspring distributions have heavy tails with boundary index one. We prove that \[ P(X >…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Yunfan Zhao

We consider a spatial branching process with emigration in which children either remain at the same site as their parents or migrate to new locations and then found their own colonies. We are interested in asymptotics of the partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jean Bertoin

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tristan Pace , Gordan Zitkovic

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

This is a survey on recent progresses in the study of branching processes with immigration, generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and affine Markov processes. We mainly focus on the applications of skew convolution semigroups and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zenghu Li

We consider a spectrally positive L\'evy process $X$ that does not drift to $+\infty$, viewed as coding for the genealogical structure of a (sub)critical branching process, in the sense of a contour or exploration process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Miraine Dávila Felipe , Amaury Lambert

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

We consider a (one-dimensional) branching Brownian motion process with a general offspring distribution having at least two moments, and in which all particles have a drift towards the origin where they are immediately absorbed. It is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Oren Louidor , Santiago Saglietti

We consider a subcritical Galton--Watson tree conditioned on having $n$ vertices with outdegree in a fixed set $\Omega$. Under mild regularity assumptions we prove various limits related to the maximal offspring of a vertex as $n$ tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Benedikt Stufler

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

We consider the large deviations associated with the empirical mean of independent and identically distributed random variables under a subexponential moment condition. We show that non-trivial deviations are observable at a subexponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Grégoire Ferré

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

In this note we consider a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a multidimensional diffusion with uncertain drift and certain volatility. Here, the drift is prescribed by a set-valued function that…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 David Criens , Lars Niemann