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In this paper we introduce a novel Bayesian data augmentation approach for estimating the parameters of the generalised logistic regression model. We propose a P\'olya-Gamma sampler algorithm that allows us to sample from the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Luciana Dalla Valle , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Rossini , Weixuan Zhu

This paper proposes a strategy for regularized estimation in multi-way contingency tables, which are common in meta-analyses and multi-center clinical trials. Our approach is based on data augmentation, and appeals heavily to a novel class…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-21 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Modeling binary and categorical data is one of the most commonly encountered tasks of applied statisticians and econometricians. While Bayesian methods in this context have been available for decades now, they often require a high level of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Gregor Zens , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Helga Wagner

In this article, we construct a two-block Gibbs sampler using Polson et al. (2013) data augmentation technique with Polya-Gamma latent variables for Bayesian logistic linear mixed models under proper priors. Furthermore, we prove the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-20 Xin Wang , Vivekananda Roy

In recent years, the study of species' occurrence has benefited from the increased availability of large-scale citizen-science data. Whilst abundance data from standardized monitoring schemes are biased towards well-studied taxa and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-02 Alex Diana , Emily Dennis , Eleni Matechou , Byron Morgan

Dynamic linear models with Gaussian observations and Gaussian states lead to closed-form formulas for posterior simulation. However, these closed-form formulas break down when the response or state evolution ceases to be Gaussian. Dynamic,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-20 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho , James G. Scott , Liang Sun

Supervised topic models with a logistic likelihood have two issues that potentially limit their practical use: 1) response variables are usually over-weighted by document word counts; and 2) existing variational inference methods make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-10 Jun Zhu , Xun Zheng , Bo Zhang

We propose a scalable stochastic variational approach to GP classification building on Polya-Gamma data augmentation and inducing points. Unlike former approaches, we obtain closed-form updates based on natural gradients that lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-28 Florian Wenzel , Theo Galy-Fajou , Christan Donner , Marius Kloft , Manfred Opper

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Despite the dominant role of deep models in machine learning, limitations persist, including overconfident predictions, susceptibility to adversarial attacks, and underestimation of variability in predictions. The Bayesian paradigm provides…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-02 J. M. Pérez-Sánchez , E. Gómez-Déniz

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Articles in Marketing and choice literatures have demonstrated the need for incorporating person-level heterogeneity into behavioral models (e.g., logit models for multiple binary outcomes as studied here). However, the logit likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Steven J. Miller , Eric T. Bradlow , Kevin Dayaratna

Multinomial logistic regression is one of the most popular models for modelling the effect of explanatory variables on a subject choice between a set of specified options. This model has found numerous applications in machine learning,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Cedric Archambeau , Francois Caron

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Jingyu He , Nicholas Polson , Jianeng Xu

Bayesian multinomial logistic regression provides a principled, interpretable approach to multiclass classification, but posterior sampling becomes increasingly expensive as the model dimension grows. Prior work has studied scalability in…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jared D. Fisher , Kyle R. McEvoy

The logistic linear mixed model (LLMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models. Generally, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to explore the posterior densities associated with the Bayesian LLMMs. Polson, Scott and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-20 Yalin Rao , Vivekananda Roy

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We introduce a generalized Bayesian method for multiple changepoint analysis with a loss function inspired by multinomial logistic regression. The method does not require a specification of the data-generating process and avoids restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yuhui Wang , Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch
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