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Minimum Description Length (MDL) provides a framework and an objective for principled model evaluation. It formalizes Occam's Razor and can be applied to data from non-stationary sources. In the prequential formulation of MDL, the objective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Jorg Bornschein , Yazhe Li , Marcus Hutter

We consider the Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence prediction. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting performance measure: (a) this quantity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Entropy principles based on thermodynamic consistency requirements are widely used for constitutive modeling in continuum mechanics, providing physical constraints on a priori unknown constitutive functions. The well-known M\"uller-Liu…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-05 J. Heß , A. F. Cheviakov

This article considers the problem of modeling a class of nonstationary count time series using multiple change-points generalized integer-valued autoregressive (MCP-GINAR) processes. The minimum description length principle (MDL) is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-04 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang

Model selection consistency in the high-dimensional regression setting can be achieved only if strong assumptions are fulfilled. We therefore suggest to pursue a different goal, which we call a minimal class of models. The minimal class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

This paper addresses learning stochastic rules especially on an inter-attribute relation based on a Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle with a finite number of examples, assuming an application to the design of intelligent relational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Joe Suzuki

We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky

Maximum likelihood estimation of energy-based models is a challenging problem due to the intractability of the log-likelihood gradient. In this work, we propose learning both the energy function and an amortized approximate sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Rithesh Kumar , Sherjil Ozair , Anirudh Goyal , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

The curse of dimensionality is a widely known issue in reinforcement learning (RL). In the tabular setting where the state space $\mathcal{S}$ and the action space $\mathcal{A}$ are both finite, to obtain a nearly optimal policy with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Bingyan Wang , Yuling Yan , Jianqing Fan

We present a novel data-driven strategy to choose the hyperparameter $k$ in the $k$-NN regression estimator without using any hold-out data. We treat the problem of choosing the hyperparameter as an iterative procedure (over $k$) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-18 Yaroslav Averyanov , Alain Celisse

Supervised topic models utilize document's side information for discovering predictive low dimensional representations of documents. Existing models apply the likelihood-based estimation. In this paper, we present a general framework of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Jun Zhu , Amr Ahmed , Eric P. Xing

Tactical selection of experiments to estimate an underlying model is an innate task across various fields. Since each experiment has costs associated with it, selecting statistically significant experiments becomes necessary. Classic linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Raj K. Velicheti , Amber Srivastava , Srinivasa M. Salapaka

Parametric complexity is a central concept in MDL model selection. In practice it often turns out to be infinite, even for quite simple models such as the Poisson and Geometric families. In such cases, MDL model selection as based on NML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Steven de Rooij , Peter Grunwald

A fundamental problem associated with the task of network reconstruction from dynamical or behavioral data consists in determining the most appropriate model complexity in a manner that prevents overfitting, and produces an inferred network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-24 Tiago P. Peixoto

The quantity of event logs available is increasing rapidly, be they produced by industrial processes, computing systems, or life tracking, for instance. It is thus important to design effective ways to uncover the information they contain.…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Esther Galbrun , Peggy Cellier , Nikolaj Tatti , Alexandre Termier , Bruno Crémilleux

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is a dimensionality reduction technique which tends to produce a sparse representation of data. Commonly, the error between the actual and recreated matrices is used as an objective function, but this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Steven Squires , Adam Prugel Bennett , Mahesan Niranjan

Algorithm selection, a critical process of automated machine learning, aims to identify the most suitable algorithm for solving a specific problem prior to execution. Mainstream algorithm selection techniques heavily rely on problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Xingyu Wu , Yan Zhong , Jibin Wu , Bingbing Jiang , Kay Chen Tan

In this paper we discuss a method, which we call Minimum Conditional Description Length (MCDL), for estimating the parameters of a subset of sites within a Markov random field. We assume that the edges are known for the entire graph…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Matthew G. Reyes , David L. Neuhoff

This paper investigates, from information theoretic grounds, a learning problem based on the principle that any regularity in a given dataset can be exploited to extract compact features from data, i.e., using fewer bits than needed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-14 Matías Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida

Maximum entropy method is a constructive criterion for setting up a probability distribution maximally non-committal to missing information on the basis of partial knowledge, usually stated as constrains on expectation values of some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-20 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio , Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio Diaz
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