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In the present work we analyze the problem of adaptation and evolution of RNA virus populations, by defining the basic stochastic model as a multivariate branching process in close relation with the branching process advanced by Demetrius,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-11 Fernando Antoneli , Francisco Bosco , Diogo Castro , Luiz Mario Janini

RNA viruses comprise vast populations of closely related, but highly genetically diverse, entities known as quasispecies. Understanding the mechanisms by which this extreme diversity is generated and maintained is fundamental when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-27 Luiza Guimarães , Diogo Castro , Bruno Gorzoni , Luiz Mario Ramos Janini , Fernando Antoneli

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

Quasispecies theory predicts that there is a critical mutation probability above which a viral population will go extinct. Above this threshold the virus loses the ability to replicate the best adapted genotype, leading to a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-26 J. Theodore Cox , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

This paper analyzes a simplified model of viral infection and evolution using the 'grand canonical ensemble' and formalisms from statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to enumerate all possible viruses and to derive thermodynamic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-08 Barbara A. Jones , Justin Lessler , Simone Bianco , James H. Kaufman

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

Based on a recent model of evolving viruses competing with an adapting immune system [1], we study the conditions under which a viral quasispecies can maximize its growth rate. The range of mutation rates that allows viruses to thrive is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Christel Kamp , Claus O. Wilke , Christoph Adami , Stefan Bornholdt

First, we revisit the stochastic Luria-Delbr\"uck model: a classic two-type branching process which describes cell proliferation and mutation. We prove limit theorems and exact results for the mutation times, clone sizes, and number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Viruses display striking diversity in structure, transmission mode, immune interaction, and evolutionary behavior. Despite this diversity, viral strategies are not unconstrained. Here we present a unifying framework that treats viral…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Mohammad Rasoolinejad

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

Originally developed to elucidate the mechanisms of natural selection in bacteria, the Luria-Delbr\"uck model assumed that cells are intrinsically capable of dividing an unlimited number of times. This assumption however, is not true for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-17 Ignacio A Rodriguez-Brenes , Dominik Wodarz , Natalia L. Komarova

We present an explicit solution to a classic model of cell-population growth introduced by Luria and Delbrueck 70 years ago to study the emergence of mutations in bacterial populations. In this model a wild-type population is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Peter Keller , Tibor Antal

The decomposable branching processes are relatively less studied objects, particularly in the continuous time framework. In this paper, we consider various variants of decomposable continuous time branching processes. As usual practice in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Ranbir Dhounchak , Veeraruna Kavitha

We apply the theory of learning to physically renormalizable systems in an attempt to develop a theory of biological evolution, including the origin of life, as multilevel learning. We formulate seven fundamental principles of evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Vitaly Vanchurin , Yuri I. Wolf , Mikhail I. Katsnelson , Eugene V. Koonin

Multitype branching processes are ideal for studying the population dynamics of stem cell populations undergoing mutation accumulation over the years following transplant. In such stochastic models, several quantities are of clinical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Timothy C Stutz , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Mary Sehl , Jason Xu

Gene-sharing networks provide a powerful framework to study the evolution of viruses and mobile genetic elements. These bipartite networks, which link genes to the genomes that contain them, exhibit characteristic degree distributions: a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-16 Jaime Iranzo , Pedro Jódar , Eugene V. Koonin , Susanna Manrubia , José A. Cuesta

Motivated by observations in sequence data of herpesviruses, we introduce a multi-locus model for the joint evolution of different genotypes in a virus population that is distributed across a population of hosts. In the model, virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Raphael Eichhorn , Cornelia Pokalyuk

Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

Bio-inspired paradigms are proving to be useful in analyzing propagation and dissemination of information in networks. In this paper we explore the use of multi-type branching processes to analyse viral properties of content in a social…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ranbir Dhounchak , Veeraruna Kavitha , Eitan Altman

Viruses can amplify their genomes following different replication modes (RMs) ranging from the stamping machine replication (SMR) model to the geometric replication (GR) model. Different RMs are expected to produce different evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-27 Josep Sardanyés
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