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We consider a model for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with a large but non-constant populations size characterized by a natural birth rate, a logistic death rate modelling competition and a probability of mutation at each…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier , Nicolas Champagnat

A simplified model for the growth of a population is studied in which random effects arise because reproducing individuals have a certain probability of surviving until the next breeding season and hence contributing to the next generation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Henry C. Tuckwell

The main topic of this thesis is the analysis of evolution equations reflecting issues in ecology and population dynamics. In mathematical modelling, the impact of environmental elements and the interaction between species is read into the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-08 Elisa Affili

We consider a stochastic model for the evolution of a discrete population structured by a trait with values on a finite grid of the torus, and with mutation and selection. Traits are vertically inherited unless a mutation occurs, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Sepideh Mirrahimi , Viet Chi Tran

We study a stochastic branching model for a population structured by a quantitative phenotypic trait and subject to births, deaths, and mutations. In a regime of large population and small mutations, and in logarithmic scales of size and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Sepideh Mirrahimi , Viet Chi Tran

In subdivided populations, migration acts together with selection and genetic drift and determines their evolution. Building up on a recently proposed method, which hinges on the emergence of a time scale separation between local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-24 Pierangelo Lombardo , Andrea Gambassi , Luca Dall'Asta

In this paper, we investigate the consequences of dormancy in the `rare mutation' and `large population' regime of stochastic adaptive dynamics. Starting from an individual-based micro-model, we first derive the polymorphic evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Jochen Blath , Tobias Paul , András Tobiás , Maite Wilke Berenguer

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

We present a model for the dynamics of a population of bacteria with a continuum of traits, who compete for resources and exchange horizontally (transfer) an otherwise vertically inherited trait with possible mutations. Competition…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Sylvain Billiard , Pierre Collet , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We consider a stochastic individual-based population model with competition, trait-structure affecting reproduction and survival, and changing environment. The changes of traits are described by jump processes, and the dynamics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

We study how environmental stochasticity influences the long-term population size in certain one- and two-species models. The difficulty is that even when one can prove that there is persistence, it is usually impossible to say anything…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

We propose a mathematical framework for natural selection in finite populations. Traditionally, many of the selection-based processes used to describe cultural and genetic evolution (such as imitation and birth-death models) have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-18 Alex McAvoy

The interplay between space and evolution is an important issue in population dynamics, that is in particular crucial in the emergence of polymorphism and spatial patterns. Recently, biological studies suggest that invasion and evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard

A biologically motivated individual-based framework for evolution in network-structured populations is developed that can accommodate eco-evolutionary dynamics. This framework is used to construct a network birth and death model. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-19 Karan Pattni , Christopher E. Overton , Kieran J. Sharkey

The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 M. H. Vainstein , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou
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