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In applications of climate information, coarse-resolution climate projections commonly need to be downscaled to a finer grid. One challenge of this requirement is the modeling of sub-grid variability and the spatial and temporal dependence…

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

We propose a novel framework for discovering Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) from data. The proposed approach combines the concepts of stochastic calculus, variational Bayes theory, and sparse learning. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Yogesh Chandrakant Mathpati , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Marcos Tapia Costa , Nikolas Kantas , George Deligiannidis

Generative diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in producing high-quality images. However, these models typically operate in continuous intensity spaces, diffusing independently across pixels and color channels. As a result,…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Javier E. Santos , Agnese Marcato , Roman Colman , Nicholas Lubbers , Yen Ting Lin

Stochastic Taylor expansions of the expectation of functionals applied to diffusion processes which are solutions of stochastic differential equation systems are introduced. Taylor formulas w.r.t. increments of the time are presented for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Andreas Rößler

Recently, in the paper: T. Koszto{\l}owicz and A. Dutkiewicz, Phys. Rev. E \textbf{104}, 014118 (2021) the $g$--subdiffusion equation with fractional Caputo time derivative with respect to another function $g$ has been considered. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-20 Tadeusz Kosztołowicz , Aldona Dutkiewicz

A stochastic flow representation is considered with the Eulerian velocity decomposed between a smooth large scale component and a rough small-scale turbulent component. The latter is specified as a random field uncorrelated in time.…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-05-31 Valentin Resseguier , Etienne Mémin , Bertrand Chapron

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper is concerned with probabilistic techniques for forecasting dynamical systems described by partial differential equations (such as, for example, the Navier-Stokes equations). In particular, it is investigating and comparing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Hans Harder , Abhijeet Vishwasrao , Luca Guastoni , Ricardo Vinuesa , Sebastian Peitz

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

In many applications, the variables that characterize a stochastic system are measured along a second dimension, such as time. This results in multivariate functional data and the interest is in describing the statistical dependences among…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Marco Borriero , Luigi Augugliaro , Gianluca Sottile , Veronica Vinciotti

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

We consider a class of one-dimensional nonlinear stochastic parabolic problems associated with Sellers and Budyko diffusive energy balance climate models with a Legendre weighted diffusion and an additive cylindrical Wiener processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-23 Gregorio Díaz , Jesús Ildefonso Díaz

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

Stochastic diffusion equations are crucial for modeling a range of physical phenomena influenced by uncertainties. We introduce the generalized finite difference method for solving these equations. Then, we examine its consistency,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Faezeh Nassajian Mojarrad

This research aims to estimate three parameters in a stochastic generalized logistic differential equation. We assume the intrinsic growth rate and shape parameters are constant but unknown. To estimate these two parameters, we use the…

The study presents a general framework for discovering underlying Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) using measured spatiotemporal data. The method, called Sparse Spatiotemporal System Discovery ($\text{S}^3\text{d}$), decides which…