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The autocorrelation function of volatility in financial time series is fitted well by a superposition of several exponents. Such a case admits an explicit analytical solution of the problem of constructing the best linear forecast of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. I. Krivoruchenko

We consider a class of stochastic path-dependent volatility models where the stochastic volatility, whose square follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, is multiplied by a (leverage) function of the spot price, its running maximum, and time.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

We present a tractable non-independent increment process which provides a high modeling flexibility. The process lies on an extension of the so-called Harris chains to continuous time being stationary and Feller. We exhibit constructions,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-19 Michelle Anzarut , Ramses H. Mena

This paper deals with an extension of the so-called Black-Scholes model in which the volatility is modeled by a linear combination of the components of the solution of a differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Nicolas Marie

In this paper we develop a Bayesian procedure for estimating multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) using state space models. A multiplicative model based on inverted Wishart and multivariate singular beta distributions is proposed for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-20 Alessandro Andreoli , Francesco Caravenna , Paolo Dai Pra , Gustavo Posta

In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

We examine whether model-based spot volatility estimators extracted from traded options data enhance the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility. Specifically, we infer spot volatility under…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-13 Zheqi Fan , Meng Melody Wang , Yifan Ye

We introduce a multi-factor stochastic volatility model based on the CIR/Heston volatility process that incorporates seasonality and the Samuelson effect. First, we give conditions on the seasonal term under which the corresponding…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Lorenz Schneider , Bertrand Tavin

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

We examine in this article the pricing of target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model. A decomposition formula by Ito's calculus yields a theoretical replicating strategy for the target volatility option, assuming the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-26 Elisa Alos , Rupak Chatterjee , Sebastian Tudor , Tai-Ho Wang

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

The aim of this work is to provide fast and accurate approximation schemes for the Monte-Carlo pricing of derivatives in the L\'evy LIBOR model of Eberlein and \"Ozkan (2005). Standard methods can be applied to solve the stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-07 Antonis Papapantoleon , David Skovmand

This paper provides a discrete time LIBOR analog, which can be used for arbitrage-free discretization of Levy LIBOR models or discrete approximation of continuous time LIBOR market models. Using the work of Eberlein and Oezkan as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli

The goal of this paper is to investigate how the marginal and dependence structures of a variety of multivariate L\'evy models affect calibration and pricing. To this aim, we study the approaches of Luciano and Semeraro (2010) and Ballotta…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Giovanni Amici , Paolo Brandimarte , Francesco Messeri , Patrizia Semeraro

We introduce a new and highly tractable structural model for spot and derivative prices in electricity markets. Using a stochastic model of the bid stack, we translate the demand for power and the prices of generating fuels into electricity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Rene Carmona , Michael Coulon , Daniel Schwarz

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

This paper studies the valuation of a class of default swaps with the embedded option to switch to a different premium and notional principal anytime prior to a credit event. These are early exercisable contracts that give the protection…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Tim Siu-Tang Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki