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In the analysis of Markov chains and processes, it is sometimes convenient to replace an unbounded state space with a "truncated" bounded state space. When such a replacement is made, one often wants to know whether the equilibrium behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm for hidden Markov models, in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

We compute the stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain which is constructed by gluing together two finite, irreducible Markov chains by identifying a pair of states of one chain with a pair of states of the other and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Bence Mélykúti , Peter Pfaffelhuber

We develop a general method for extending Markov processes to a larger state space such that the added points form a polar set. The so obtained extension is an improvement on the standard trivial extension in which case the process is made…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Lucian Beznea , Iulian Cîmpean , Michael Röckner

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

Sampling from combinatorial families can be difficult. However, complicated families can often be embedded within larger, simpler ones, for which easy sampling algorithms are known. We take advantage of such a relationship to describe a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-09-02 James Y. Zhao

Consider a probability measure supported by a regular geodesic ball in a manifold. For any p larger than or equal to 1 we define a stochastic algorithm which converges almost surely to the p-mean of the measure. Assuming furthermore that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Marc Arnaudon , Clément Dombry , Anthony Phan , Le Yang

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

Kirchhoff's matrix tree theorem is a well-known result that gives a formula for the number of spanning trees in a finite, connected graph in terms of the graph Laplacian matrix. A closely related result is Wilson's algorithm for putting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Michael J. Kozdron , Larissa M. Richards , Daniel W. Stroock

For different reversible Markov kernels on finite state spaces, we look for families of probability measures for which the time evolution almost remains in their convex hull. Motivated by signal processing problems and metastability studies…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Luca Avena , Fabienne Castell , Alexandre Gaudillière , Clothilde Melot

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

In this paper we address the problem of understanding the success of algorithms that organize patches according to graph-based metrics. Algorithms that analyze patches extracted from images or time series have led to state-of-the art…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-07-05 Kye M. Taylor , Francois G. Meyer

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

We consider a general interacting particle system with interactions on a random graph, and study the large population limit of this system. When the sequence of underlying graphs converges to a graphon, we show convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Carla Crucianelli , Ludovic Tangpi

Let $(X_n)$ be a Markov chain on a standard borelian space $\mathbb{X}$. Any stopping time $\tau$ such that $\mathbb{E}_x\tau$ is finite for all $x\in\mathbb{X}$ induces a Markov chain in $\mathbb{X}$. In this article, we show that there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Jean-Baptiste Boyer

Inference in continuous label Markov random fields is a challenging task. We use particle belief propagation (PBP) for solving the inference problem in continuous label space. Sampling particles from the belief distribution is typically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Oliver Mueller , Michael Ying Yang , Bodo Rosenhahn

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

There is a long history of establishing central limit theorems for Markov chains. Quantitative bounds for chains with a spectral gap were proved by Mann and refined later. Recently, rates of convergence for the total variation distance were…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Rafael Chiclana , Yuval Peres