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Related papers: Message passing with relaxed moment matching

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Reinforcement Learning (RL) requires a large amount of exploration especially in sparse-reward settings. Imitation Learning (IL) can learn from expert demonstrations without exploration, but it never exceeds the expert's performance and is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Ryoya Ogishima , Izumi Karino , Yasuo Kuniyoshi

In this paper, we study a fast approximate inference method based on expectation propagation for exploring the posterior probability distribution arising from the Bayesian formulation of nonlinear inverse problems. It is capable of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Matthias Gehre , Bangti Jin

A concise expectation propagation (EP) based message passing algorithm (MPA) is derived for the general measurement channel. By neglecting some high-order infinitesimal terms, the EP-MPA is proven to be equivalent to the Generalized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Lei Liu , Ying Li , Chongwen Huang , Chau Yuen , Yong Liang Guan

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental settings that maximize obtained information. In this work, we focus on estimating the expected information gain in the setting where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Chuntao Chen , Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Yuya Suzuki

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

This letter deals with the application of the expectation propagation (EP) algorithm to turbo equalization. The EP has been successfully applied to obtain either a better approximation at the output of the equalizer or at the output of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-19 Irene Santos , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes , Eva Arias-de-Reyna

We study the conjugacy approximation method in the context of Bayesian ranking and selection with unknown correlations. Under the assumption of normal-inverse-Wishart prior distribution, the posterior distribution remains a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-16 Qiong Zhang , Yongjia Song

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference in discrete-valued Markov random fields is a fundamental problem in machine learning that involves identifying the most likely configuration of random variables given a distribution. Due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Jonathan N. Lee , Aldo Pacchiano , Peter Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

The future predictive performance of a Bayesian model can be estimated using Bayesian cross-validation. In this article, we consider Gaussian latent variable models where the integration over the latent values is approximated using the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-09 Aki Vehtari , Tommi Mononen , Ville Tolvanen , Tuomas Sivula , Ole Winther

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

In modular Bayesian analyses, complex models are composed of distinct modules, each representing different aspects of the data or prior information. In this context, fully Bayesian approaches can sometimes lead to undesirable feedback…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Grant Hutchings , Kellin Rumsey , Derek Bingham , Gabriel Huerta

SLOPE is a relatively new convex optimization procedure for high-dimensional linear regression via the sorted l1 penalty: the larger the rank of the fitted coefficient, the larger the penalty. This non-separable penalty renders many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-18 Zhiqi Bu , Jason Klusowski , Cynthia Rush , Weijie Su

A remarkable recent paper by Rubinfeld and Vasilyan (2022) initiated the study of \emph{testable learning}, where the goal is to replace hard-to-verify distributional assumptions (such as Gaussianity) with efficiently testable ones and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Aravind Gollakota , Adam R. Klivans , Pravesh K. Kothari

Exponential family distributions are highly useful in machine learning since their calculation can be performed efficiently through natural parameters. The exponential family has recently been extended to the t-exponential family, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Futoshi Futami , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Belief propagation is a widely used message passing method for the solution of probabilistic models on networks such as epidemic models, spin models, and Bayesian graphical models, but it suffers from the serious shortcoming that it works…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-27 Alec Kirkley , George T. Cantwell , M. E. J. Newman

Large Language Models usually put more emphasis on accuracy and therefore, will guess even when not certain about the prediction, which is especially severe when fine-tuned on small datasets due to the inherent tendency toward…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Moule Lin , Shuhao Guan , Andrea Patane , David Gregg , Goetz Botterweck

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

The convergence of expectation-maximization (EM)-based algorithms typically requires continuity of the likelihood function with respect to all the unknown parameters (optimization variables). The requirement is not met when parameters…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-18 Geethu Joseph

Sampling from complex target distributions is a challenging task fundamental to Bayesian inference. Parallel tempering (PT) addresses this problem by constructing a Markov chain on the expanded state space of a sequence of distributions…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-18 Nikola Surjanovic , Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell
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