Related papers: Time-Changed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes And Thei…
Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…
Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…
In this study we define a three-step procedure to relate the self-decomposability of the stationary law of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to the law of the increments of such processes. Based on this procedure and the results of…
We compare the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble to its non-hermitian counterpart - for the complex Ginibre ensemble. We exploit the mathematical framework based on the generalized Green's functions, which…
Financial time series exhibit two different type of non linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or `leverage') correlations that…
Options with maturities below one week, hereafter "ultra-short-term" options, have seen a sharp increase in trading activity in recent years. Yet, these instruments are difficult to price jointly using classical pricing models due to the…
We study fluctuations of mean-field interacting particle systems around their McKean--Vlasov limit. Our main result provides a uniform-in-time quantitative central limit theorem for the fluctuation process, with convergence rate of order…
We study the asymptotic behaviour of modified weighted power variations of the Hermite process of arbitrary order. By selecting suitable "good" increments and exploiting their decomposition into dominant independent components, we establish…
We consider a Markov process $X$, which is the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a L\'{e}vy process $Z$ and an independent Wiener process $W$. Under some regularity conditions, including non-degeneracy of the…
The assessing resources dynamics problem, in the context of an economic system with Gaussian consumption and deterministic productivity, is considered in this paper. Basically it is presented a discrete time recursive equation that supports…
The dynamics of the eigenvalues (semimartingales) of a L\'{e}vy process $X$ with values in Hermitian matrices is described in terms of It\^{o} stochastic differential equations with jumps. This generalizes the well known Dyson-Brownian…
We model the time evolution of single win odds in Japanese horse racing as a stochastic process, deriving an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process by analyzing the probability dynamics of vote shares and the empirical time series of odds movements.…
In this paper we investigate the problem of detecting a change in the drift parameters of a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which is defined as the solution of $dX_t=(L(t)-\alpha X_t) dt + \sigma dB_t$, and which is observed in…
We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…
We introduce a multi-factor stochastic volatility model based on the CIR/Heston stochastic volatility process. In order to capture the Samuelson effect displayed by commodity futures contracts, we add expiry-dependent exponential damping…
This paper explores the concept of random-time subordination in modelling stock-price dynamics, and We first present results on the Laplace distribution as a Gaussian variance-mixture, in particular a more efficient volatility estimation…
We analytically demonstrate the emergence of surface non-Hermitian boundary contributions that appear in an extended form of the quantum Ehrenfest theorem and are crucial (although so far overlooked) in the calculation of optical matrix…
We propose a prescription to quantize classical monomials in terms of symmetric and ordered expansions of non-commuting operators of a bosonic theory. As a direct application of such quantization rules, we quantize a classically time…
The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…
Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…