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The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) famously stated that prices fully reflect the information available to traders. This critically depends on the transfer of information into prices through trading strategies. Traders optimise their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-14 Paolo Barucca , Flaviano Morone

Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Alexandra Ilinskaia , Kirill Ilinski

Convex duality for two two different super--replication problems in a continuous time financial market with proportional transaction cost is proved. In this market, static hedging in a finite number of options, in addition to usual dynamic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-20 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

We contrast Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), the theoretical basis for the development of financial instruments, with a dynamical picture of an interacting market, in a simple setting. The proliferation of financial instruments apparently…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-08 Fabio Caccioli , Matteo Marsili , Pierpaolo Vivo

We study the fair allocation of indivisible goods among agents, with a focus on limiting envy. A central open question in this area is the existence of EFX allocations-allocations in which any envy of any agent i towards any agent j…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Mahyar Afshinmehr , Arash Ashuri , Pouria Mahmoudkhan , Kurt Mehlhorn

We consider the problem of sharing a set of indivisible goods among agents in a fair manner, namely such that the allocation is envy-free up to any good (EFX). We focus on the problem of computing an EFX allocation in the two-agent case and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Paul W. Goldberg , Kasper Høgh , Alexandros Hollender

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We introduce a microscopic model which describes the dynamics of each dealer in multiple foreign exchange markets, taking account of the triangular arbitrage transaction. The model reproduces the interaction among the markets well. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-11 Y. Aiba , N. Hatano

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

This paper discusses the dynamics of intraday prices of twelve cryptocurrencies during last months' boom and bust. The importance of this study lies on the extended coverage of the cryptoworld, accounting for more than 90\% of the total…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Luciano Zunino , Osvaldo A. Rosso

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In recent years, the popularity of artificial intelligence has surged due to its widespread application in various fields. The financial sector has harnessed its advantages for multiple purposes, including the development of automated…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Vito Alessandro Monaco , Antonio Riva , Luca Sabbioni , Lorenzo Bisi , Edoardo Vittori , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Marcello Restelli

This paper studies relative arbitrage opportunities in a market with competitive investors through stochastic differential games in the limit as the number of players tends to infinity. With common noises introduced by the stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Nicole Tianjiao Yang , Tomoyuki Ichiba

Opportunities for stochastic arbitrage in an options market arise when it is possible to construct a portfolio of options which provides a positive option premium and which, when combined with a direct investment in the underlying asset,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Brendan K. Beare , Juwon Seo , Zhongxi Zheng

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

We develop a robust framework for pricing and hedging of derivative securities in discrete-time financial markets. We consider markets with both dynamically and statically traded assets and make minimal measurability assumptions. We obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-08 Matteo Burzoni , Marco Frittelli , Zhaoxu Hou , Marco Maggis , Jan Obłój

In econometrics, the Efficient Market Hypothesis posits that asset prices reflect all available information in the market. Several empirical investigations show that market efficiency drops when it undergoes extreme events. Many models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-02 Junshu Jiang , Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , David Bolin

The existence of EFX allocations is a fundamental question in fair division. In this paper, we construct a three-agent, eight-good instance with monotone subadditive valuations such that no allocation satisfies $\alpha$-EFX for any $\alpha…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Simon Mackenzie , Mashbat Suzuki

Trading algorithms that execute large orders are susceptible to exploitation by order anticipation strategies. This paper studies the influence of order anticipation strategies in a multi-investor model of optimal execution under transient…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-12 Elias Strehle