Related papers: On random coefficient INAR(1) processes
Guerrero et al. \cite{GBSO} propose a novel approach to building first-order integer-valued autoregressive (\inar1) models based on the concept of thinning. The standard approach requires that the thinning operator be defined first and…
Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…
We analyze the asymptotic behavior of sequences of random variables defined by an initial condition, a stationary and ergodic sequence of random matrices, and an induction formula involving multiplication is the so-called max-plus algebra.…
We investigate a generalized stochastic model with the property known as mean reversion, that is, the tendency to relax towards a historical reference level. Besides this property, the dynamics is driven by multiplicative and additive…
We estimate the unknown parameters of an asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process (BAR) when some of the data are missing. In this aim, we model the observed data by a two-type Galton-Watson process consistent with the binary tree…
This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of stochastic recursive inclusions in the presence of non-zero, non-diminishing bias, a setting that frequently arises in zeroth-order optimization, stochastic approximation with…
This paper investigates the asymptotic behaviour of solutions to certain infinite systems of coupled recurrence relations. In particular, we obtain a characterisation of those initial values which lead to a convergent solution, and for…
In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of weighted random sums when the sum process converges stably in law to a Brownian motion and the weight process has continuous trajectories, more regular than that of a Brownian motion. We…
This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable…
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic for the stable $p-$order autoregressive process when the driven noise is given by a first-order autoregressive process. It is an extension of…
Prediction is a key issue in time series analysis. Just as classical mean regression models, classical autoregressive methods, yielding L$^2$ point-predictions, provide rather poor predictive summaries; a much more informative approach is…
Limit theorems for non-additive probabilities or non-linear expectations are challenging issues which have raised progressive interest recently. The purpose of this paper is to study the strong law of large numbers and the law of the…
We prove asymptotic equivalence of nonparametric additive regression and an appropriate Gaussian white noise experiment in which a multidimensional shifted Wiener process is observed, whose dimension equals the number of additive…
We consider the problem of asymptotic reconstruction of the state and parameter values in systems of ordinary differential equations. A solution to this problem is proposed for a class of systems of which the unknowns are allowed to be…
Latent autoregressive models are useful time series models for the analysis of infectious disease data. Evaluation of the likelihood function of latent autoregressive models is intractable and its approximation through simulation-based…
We propose a general framework for solving statistical mechanics of systems with finite size. The approach extends the celebrated variational mean-field approaches using autoregressive neural networks, which support direct sampling and…
The law of the iterated logarithm for partial sums of weakly dependent processes was intensively studied by Walter Philipp in the late 1960s and 1970s. In this paper, we aim to extend these results to nondegenerate U-statistics of data that…
A particle subject to a white noise external forcing moves like a Langevin process. Consider now that the particle is reflected at a boundary which restores a portion c of the incoming speed at each bounce. For c strictly smaller than the…
The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…
This paper presents an analysis of the stochastic recursion $W_{i+1} = [V_iW_i+Y_i]^+$ that can be interpreted as an autoregressive process of order 1, reflected at 0. We start our exposition by a discussion of the model's stability…