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This paper studies, under the setting of spline regression, the connection between finite-sample properties of selection criteria and their asymptotic counterparts, focusing on bridging the gap between the two. We introduce a bias-variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. C. Kou

The effect of inaccuracies in the parameters of a dynamic Bayesian network can be investigated by subjecting the network to a sensitivity analysis. Having detailed the resulting sensitivity functions in our previous work, we now study the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Theodore Charitos , Linda C. van der Gaag

We propose a novel approach to model selection for simulator-based statistical models. The proposed approach defines a mixture of candidate models, and then iteratively updates the weight coefficients for those models as well as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Yuuki Nakaguchi , Kanishka Khandelwal , Kenji Fukumiziu

Penalized likelihood methods with an $\ell_{\gamma}$-type penalty, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, allow us to estimate a parameter and to do variable selection, simultaneously, if $\gamma\in (0,1]$. In this method, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-28 Yuta Umezu , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Resource-constrained classification tasks are common in real-world applications such as allocating tests for disease diagnosis, hiring decisions when filling a limited number of positions, and defect detection in manufacturing settings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Danit Shifman Abukasis , Izack Cohen , Xiaochen Xian , Kejun Huang , Gonen Singer

A basis expansion with regularization methods is much appealing to the flexible or robust nonlinear regression models for data with complex structures. When the underlying function has inhomogeneous smoothness, it is well known that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Daeju Kim , Shuichi Kawano , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Sparse Gaussian graphical models characterize sparse dependence relationships between random variables in a network. To estimate multiple related Gaussian graphical models on the same set of variables, we formulate a hierarchical model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-10 Yuancheng Zhu , Rina Foygel Barber

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

In adaptive control, a controller is precisely designed for a certain model of the system, but that model's parameters are updated online by another mechanism called the adaptive update. This allows the controller to aim for the benefits of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jason Nezvadovitz

We propose a recursive logit model which captures the notion of choice aversion by imposing a penalty term that accounts for the dimension of the choice set at each node of the transportation network. We make three contributions. First, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-19 Austin Knies , Jorge Lorca , Emerson Melo

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a tree-based machine learning method that has been successfully applied to regression and classification problems. BART assumes regularisation priors on a set of trees that work as weak learners…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-07 Estevão B. Prado , Rafael A. Moral , Andrew C. Parnell

The construction of coherent prediction models holds great importance in medical research as such models enable health researchers to gain deeper insights into disease epidemiology and clinicians to identify patients at higher risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Guanbo Wang , Sylvie Perreault , Robert W. Platt , Rui Wang , Marc Dorais , Mireille E. Schnitzer

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…

In this paper, we study the nonparametric linear model, when the error process is a dependent Gaussian process. We focus on the estimation of the mean vector via a model selection approach. We first give the general theoretical form of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Emmanuel Caron , Jérôme Dedecker , Bertrand Michel

Prediction algorithms typically assume the training data are independent samples, but in many modern applications samples come from individuals connected by a network. For example, in adolescent health studies of risk-taking behaviors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-26 Tianxi Li , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

This paper discusses the problem of adaptive estimation of a univariate object like the value of a regression function at a given point or a linear functional in a linear inverse problem. We consider an adaptive procedure originated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Vladimir Spokoiny , Céline Vial

A method of simultaneously optimizing both the structure of neural networks and the connection weights in a single training loop can reduce the enormous computational cost of neural architecture search. We focus on the probabilistic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Shota Saito , Shinichi Shirakawa

In M-open problems where no true model can be conceptualized, it is common to back off from modeling and merely seek good prediction. Even in M-complete problems, taking a predictive approach can be very useful. Stacking is a model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Tri Le , Bertrand Clarke

A wide range of machine learning algorithms iteratively add data to the training sample. Examples include semi-supervised learning, active learning, multi-armed bandits, and Bayesian optimization. We embed this kind of data addition into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Julian Rodemann