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This paper presents a general theory that aims at explaining timescales observed empirically in technology transitions and predicting those of future transitions. This framework is used further to derive a theory for exploring the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Jean-Francois Mercure

This research aims to estimate three parameters in a stochastic generalized logistic differential equation. We assume the intrinsic growth rate and shape parameters are constant but unknown. To estimate these two parameters, we use the…

Neural scaling laws establish a predictable relationship between model performance and data or compute, offering crucial guidance for resource allocation in new domains and tasks. Yet such laws are most needed precisely where they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Xing Han , Ziyin Liu , Suchi Saria , Paul Pu Liang

We analyze about two hundred naturally occurring networks with distinct dynamical origins to formally test whether the commonly assumed hypothesis of an underlying scale-free structure is generally viable. This has recently been questioned…

The interaction of all mobile species with their environment hinges on their movement patterns: the places they visit and how frequently they go there. In human society, where the prevalent form of cohabitation is in cities, the highly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-17 Markus Schläpfer , Michael Szell , Hadrien Salat , Carlo Ratti , Geoffrey B. West

The study of the dynamics of the size of a population via mathematical modelling is a problem of interest and widely studied. Traditionally, continuous deterministic methods based on differential equations have been used to deal with this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 J. -C. Cortés , A. Navarro-Quiles , J. -V. Romero , M. -D. Roselló

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb

Many real-world scale-free networks, such as neural networks and online communication networks, consist of a fixed number of nodes but exhibit dynamic edge fluctuations. However, traditional models frequently overlook scenarios where the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Yichao Yao , Minyu Feng , Matjaž Perc , Jürgen Kurths

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

Diffusion processes are central to human interactions. One common prediction of the current modeling frameworks is that initial spreading dynamics follow exponential growth. Here, we find that, ranging from mobile handsets to automobiles,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Ching Jin , Chaoming Song , Johannes Bjelland , Geoffrey Canright , Dashun Wang

Fundamental laws of human mobility have been extensively studied, yet we are still lacking a comprehensive understanding of the mobility patterns of sharing conveyances. Since travellers would highly probably no longer possess their own…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-16 Ruiqi Li , Ankang Luo , Fan Shang , Linyuan Lv , Jingfang Fan , Gang Lu , Liming Pan , Lixin Tian , H. Eugene Stanley

We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-05 Victor E. Gluzberg , Yuri A. Katz

The recent availability of data for cities has allowed scientists to exhibit scalings which present themselves in the form of a power-law dependence with population of various socio-economical and structural indicators. We propose here a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-18 Rémi Louf , Marc Barthelemy

Contrary to many recent models of growing networks, we present a model with fixed number of nodes and links, where it is introduced a dynamics favoring the formation of links between nodes with degree of connectivity as different as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Baiesi , S. S. Manna

We investigate a social system of agents faced with a binary choice. We assume there is a correct, or beneficial, outcome of this choice. Furthermore, we assume agents are influenced by others in making their decision, and that the agents…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-06 Andreas Gronlund , Petter Holme , Petter Minnhagen

The temporal fluctuations in global mean surface temperature is an example of a geophysical quantity which can be described using the notions of long-range persistence and scale invariance/scaling, but this description has suffered from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Hege-Beate Fredriksen , Martin Rypdal

Commuting is a key mechanism that governs the dynamics of cities. Despite its importance, very little is known of the properties and mechanisms underlying this crucial urban process. Here, we capitalize on $\sim$ 50 million individuals'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-28 Lei Dong , Paolo Santi , Yu Liu , Siqi Zheng , Carlo Ratti

How does the shape of a network change as its size increases? Although random graph models provide some expectations for such "scaling behaviors" in the structure of networks, relatively little is known about how empirical network structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Upasana Dutta , Alexander Ray , Aaron Clauset

The logistic equation has been extensively used to model biological phenomena across a variety of disciplines and has provided valuable insight into how our universe operates. Incorporating time-dependent parameters into the logistic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-01 Marina Mancuso , Carrie Manore , Kaitlyn Martinez , Fabio Milner

Using numerical simulations and scaling theory we study the dynamics of the world-wide Web from the growth rules recently proposed in Ref. [1] with appropriate parameters. We demonstrate that the emergence of power-law behavior of the out-…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Bosiljka Tadic