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The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, we consider moderate deviations for Good's coverage estimator. The moderate deviation principle and the self-normalized moderate deviation principle for Good's coverage estimator are established. The results are also applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Fuqing Gao

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for splittable random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Boris Tsirelson

This note provides a tool to infer moderate deviations principles for specific random variables from deviations principles for their Hubbard-Stratonovich transforms.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-03 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

We consider a single-server queue where interarrival and service times depend linearly and randomly on customer waiting times, and establish a sample-path moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the waiting time process. The waiting times…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Chang Feng , John J. Hasenbein , Guodong Pang

We establish the moderate deviation principle for the solutions of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with non-Lipschitz continuous coefficients. As an application, we derive the moderate deviation principle for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Parisa Fatheddin , Jie Xiong

Moderate deviation principles for stochastic differential equations driven by a Poisson random measure (PRM) in finite and infinite dimensions are obtained. Proofs are based on a variational representation for expected values of positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Estimation of parameters in differential equation models can be achieved by applying learning algorithms to quantitative time-series data. However, sometimes it is only possible to measure qualitative changes of a system in response to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Gregory Szep , Neil Dalchau , Attila Csikasz-Nagy

Penalized estimation principle is fundamental to high-dimensional problems. In the literature, it has been extensively and successfully applied to various models with only structural parameters. As a contrast, in this paper, we apply this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Jianqing Fan , Runlong Tang , Xiaofeng Shi

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for some planary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Boris Tsirelson

Consider the stochastic differential equation in $\rr^d$ dX^{\e}_t&=b(X^{\e}_t)dt+\sqrt{\e}\sigma(X^\e_t)dB_t X^{\e}_0&=x_0,\quad x_0\in\rr^d$ where $b:\rr^d\to\rr^d$ is $C^1$ such that $<x,b(x)> \leq C(1+|x|^2)$, $\sigma:\rr^d\to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yutao ma , Ran Wang , Liming Wu

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly-explosive first-order autoregressive model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly-explosive AR(1) process. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Hui Jiang , Mingming Yu , Guangyu Yang

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid