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Sparse sequences of neural spikes are posited to underlie aspects of working memory, motor production, and learning. Discovering these sequences in an unsupervised manner is a longstanding problem in statistical neuroscience. Promising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Alex H. Williams , Anthony Degleris , Yixin Wang , Scott W. Linderman

In this paper we prove the Poisson Hypothesis for the limiting behavior of the large queueing systems in some simple ("mean-field") cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical systems, defined by the non-linear Markov…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Rybko , Senya Shlosman

We explore a combinatorial framework which efficiently quantifies the asymmetries between minima and maxima in local fluctuations of time series. We firstly showcase its performance by applying it to a battery of synthetic cases. We find…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-16 Uri Hasson , Jacopo Iacovacci , Ben Davis , Ryan Flanagan , Enzo Tagliazucchi , Helmut Laufs , Lucas Lacasa

Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short periods with several large observations, known as extremal blocks. We study cluster statistics summarizing the behavior of functions acting on these extremal blocks.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Gloria Buriticá , Olivier Wintenberger

The intensity matching approach for tractable performance evaluation and optimization of cellular networks is introduced. It assumes that the base stations are modeled as points of a Poisson point process and leverages stochastic geometry…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Marco Di Renzo , Wei Lu , Peng Guan

We derive explicit, closed-form expressions for the cumulant densities of a multivariate, self-exciting Hawkes point process, generalizing a result of Hawkes in his earlier work on the covariance density and Bartlett spectrum of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Stojan Jovanović , John Hertz , Stefan Rotter

With any max-stable random process $\eta$ on $\mathcal{X}=\mathbb{Z}^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$, we associate a random tessellation of the parameter space $\mathcal{X}$. The construction relies on the Poisson point process representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Clément Dombry , Z. Kabluchko

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

Long-range dependence induced by heavy tails is a widely reported feature of internet traffic. Long-range dependence can be defined as the regular variation of the variance of the integrated process, and half the index of regular variation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-01 Gilles Fay , François Roueff , Philippe Soulier

The Extremal Index is a parameter that measures the intensity of clustering of rare events and is usually equal to the reciprocal of the mean of the limiting cluster size distribution. We show how to build dynamically generated stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

The so-called level crossing analysis has been used to investigate the empirical data set. But there is a lack of interpretation for what is reflected by the level crossing results. The fractional Gaussian noise as a well-defined stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-12-08 M. Vahabi , G. R. Jafari , M. Sadegh Movahed

We consider random interlacements on $ \mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \ge 3$, when their vacant set is in a strongly percolative regime. Given a large box centered at the origin, we establish an asymptotic upper bound on the exponential rate of decay of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Alain-Sol Sznitman

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

In this article we determine the Laplace transforms of the main boundary functionals of the oscillating compound Poisson process. These are the first passage time of the level, the joint distribution of the first exit time from the interval…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-28 Tetyana Kadankova

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

An up-down chain is a Markov chain in which each transition is a two-step process that moves up to a larger object and then back down to an object of the original size. The first goal of this paper is to present a general framework for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Valentin Féray , Kelvin Rivera-Lopez

Data of the form of event times arise in various applications. A simple model for such data is a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) which is specified by a rate function that depends on time. We consider the problem of having access to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-22 Duncan Barrack , Simon Preston

Theoretical expressions for the distribution of the ratio of consecutive level spacings for quantum systems with transiting dynamics remain unknown. We propose a family of one-parameter distributions $P(r)\equiv P(r;\beta)$, where…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 A. L. Corps , A. Relaño

This paper addresses important weaknesses in current methodology for the estimation of multivariate extreme event distributions. The estimation of the residual dependence index $\eta \in (0,1]$ is notoriously problematic. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Jennifer Israelsson , Emily Black , Claudia Neves , David Walshaw