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Earthquake network captures the complexity of seismicity in a peculiar manner. Given a seismic data, the procedure of constructing an earthquake network proposed in [S. Abe, N, Suzuki, Europhys. Lett. 65 (2004) 581] contains as a single…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-07-16 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We study the implications and limitations of galaxy cluster surveys for constraining models of particle physics and gravity beyond the Standard Model. Flux limited cluster counts probe the history of large scale structure formation in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 Joshua Erlich , Brian Glover , Neal Weiner

In this paper we propose a measure of clustering quality or accuracy that is appropriate in situations where it is desirable to evaluate a clustering algorithm by somehow comparing the clusters it produces with ``ground truth' consisting of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Byron E Dom

A popular method for selecting the number of clusters is based on stability arguments: one chooses the number of clusters such that the corresponding clustering results are "most stable". In recent years, a series of papers has analyzed the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-08 Ulrike von Luxburg

Quantum Clustering is a powerful method to detect clusters in data with mixed density. However, it is very sensitive to a length parameter that is inherent to the Schr\"odinger equation. In addition, linking data points into clusters…

Clustering is a widely used unsupervised learning method for finding structure in the data. However, the resulting clusters are typically presented without any guarantees on their robustness; slightly changing the used data sample or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-02 Andreas Henelius , Kai Puolamäki , Henrik Boström , Panagiotis Papapetrou

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) are the probabilistic model that combines the strengths of both neural network (NN) and stochastic processes. As a result, BNN can combat overfitting and perform well in applications where data is limited.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-13 Sabber Ahamed , Md Mesbah Uddin

Statistical significance tests can provide evidence that the observed difference in performance between two methods is not due to chance. In Information Retrieval, some studies have examined the validity and suitability of such tests for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Javier Parapar , David E. Losada , Manuel A. Presedo-Quindimil , Alvaro Barreiro

A flourishing empirical literature investigates the prevalence of $p$-hacking based on the distribution of $p$-values across studies. Interpreting results in this literature requires a careful understanding of the power of methods for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wüthrich

The dragon-king earthquake hypothesis proposes that some very large to great earthquakes are not merely the extreme end of the frequency-magnitude Gutenberg-Richter distribution (FMD), but are generated by distinct physical mechanisms,…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jiawei Li , Didier Sornette

Unsupervised clustering of feature matrix data is an indispensible technique for exploratory data analysis and quality control of experimental data. However, clusters are difficult to assess for statistical significance in an objective way.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 James Mathews , Cameron Crowe , Rami Vanguri , Margaret Callahan , Travis Hollmann , Saad Nadeem

Consider a multiple hypothesis testing setting involving rare/weak effects: relatively few tests, out of possibly many, deviate from their null hypothesis behavior. Summarizing the significance of each test by a P-value, we construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 David L. Donoho , Alon Kipnis

Genome-wide association analysis has generated much discussion about how to preserve power to detect signals despite the detrimental effect of multiple testing on power. We develop a weighted multiple testing procedure that facilitates the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kathryn Roeder , Bernie Devlin , Larry Wasserman

We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a temporal time-averaged (Poisson) forecast. A variety of…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-23 James R Holliday , William R Graves , John B Rundle , Donald L Turcotte

Here we suggest a new procedure through which one can identify when the accumulation of stresses before major earthquakes (EQs) (of magnitude M 8.2 or larger) occurs. By analyzing the seismicity in the frame of natural time, which is a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-02-15 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Toshiyasu Nagao

Obtaining robust galaxy number counts is crucial for understanding galaxy evolution, and submillimetre counts in particular have proven valuable for revising subgrid physics models in cosmological simulations. In confusion-limited surveys,…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-05-12 Yunting Wang , Ryley Hill , Douglas Scott , Tessa Vernstrom

Evolution and abundance of the large-scale structures we observe today, such as clusters of galaxies, is sensitive to the statistical properties of dark matter primordial density fluctuations, which is assumed to follow a Gaussian…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-29 Ziad Sakr , Damien Houguenague , Alain Blanchard

Yes. Interval statistics have been used to conclude that major earthquakes are random events in time and cannot be anticipated or predicted. Machine learning is a powerful new technique that enhances our ability to understand the…

A family of consistent tests, derived from a characterization of the probability generating function, is proposed for assessing Poissonity against a wide class of count distributions, which includes some of the most frequently adopted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

Machine learning regression can predict macroscopic fault properties such as shear stress, friction, and time to failure using continuous records of fault zone acoustic emissions. Here we show that a similar approach is successful using…

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