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Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements at higher…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-16 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Armando Giovannini , Diana Palma , Lara Savini , Vittoria Colizza

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

The spread of information through socio-technical systems determines which individuals are the first to gain access to opportunities and insights. Yet, the pathways through which information flows can be skewed, leading to systematic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-12 Moritz Laber , Samantha Dies , Joseph Ehlert , Brennan Klein , Tina Eliassi-Rad

The dynamics of cascading activation, such as rapid changes in public opinion and the outbreak of disease epidemics, have a crucial dependence on the connectivity patterns among the agents. We study cascading dynamics in modular,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-20 Jordan Snyder , Weiran Cai , Raissa M. D'Souza

For a reliable prediction of an epidemic or information spreading pattern in complex systems, well-defined measures are essential. In the susceptible-infected model on heterogeneous networks, the cluster of infected nodes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-10 Mi Jin Lee , Deok-Sun Lee

We performed a thorough sensitivity analysis of the herd immunity threshold for discrete-time SIR compartmental models with a static network structure. We find unexpectedly that these models violate classical intuition which holds that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-27 Sinan A. Ozbay , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximilian M. Nguyen

Temporal contact networks are studied to understand dynamic spreading phenomena such as communicable diseases or information dissemination. To establish how spatiotemporal dynamics of nodes impact spreading potential in colocation contact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Bryce Thomas , Raja Jurdak , Kun Zhao , Ian Atkinson

Networks of person-person contacts form the substrate along which infectious diseases spread. Most network-based studies of the spread focus on the impact of variations in degree (the number of contacts an individual has). However, other…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-15 Joel C. Miller

Epidemics generally spread through a succession of waves that reflect factors on multiple timescales. On short timescales, super-spreading events lead to burstiness and overdispersion, while long-term persistent heterogeneity in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-04 Alexei V. Tkachenko , Sergei Maslov , Ahmed Elbanna , George N. Wong , Zachary J. Weiner , Nigel Goldenfeld

This paper describes a novel approach to modeling homphily, i.e. the tendency of nodes that share (or differ in) certain attributes to be linked; we consider dynamic networks in which nodes can be added over time but not removed. Our…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-13 V. DeGruttola , M. Nakazawa , J. Liu , X. Tu , S. Little , S. Mehta

A key scientific challenge during the outbreak of novel infectious diseases is to predict how the course of the epidemic changes under different countermeasures that limit interaction in the population. Most epidemiological models do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-25 Mansi Sood , Anirudh Sridhar , Rashad Eletreby , Chai Wah Wu , Simon A. Levin , H. Vincent Poor , Osman Yagan

Capturing the structure of a population and characterising contacts within the population are key to reliable projections of infectious disease. Two main elements of population structure -- contact heterogeneity and age -- have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L. Davis , Matt J. Keeling

The spread of an infectious disease can be promoted by previous infections with other pathogens. This cooperative effect can give rise to violent outbreaks, reflecting the presence of an abrupt epidemic transition. As for other diffusive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-06 Peng-Bi Cui , Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

Time-varying network topologies can deeply influence dynamical processes mediated by them. Memory effects in the pattern of interactions among individuals are also known to affect how diffusive and spreading phenomena take place. In this…

In temporal networks, both the topology of the underlying network and the timings of interaction events can be crucial in determining how some dynamic process mediated by the network unfolds. We have explored the limiting case of the speed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-28 Mikko Kivelä , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

Human social interactions are typically recorded as time-specific dyadic interactions, and represented as evolving (temporal) networks, where links are activated/deactivated over time. However, individuals can interact in groups of more…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-03 Alberto Ceria , Huijuan Wang

Epidemic spread in single-host systems strongly depends on the population's contact network. However, little is known regarding the spread of epidemics across networks representing populations of multiple hosts. We explored cross-species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-06 Shai Pilosof , Gili Greenbaum , Boris R. Krasnov , Yuval R. Zelnik

Traditional mathematical models of epidemic disease had for decades conventionally considered static structure for contacts. Recently, an upsurge of theoretical inquiry has strived towards rendering the models more realistic by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Babak Fotouhi , Mehrdad Khani Shirkoohi

In recent years the research community has accumulated overwhelming evidence for the emergence of complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns in a wide range of biological and sociotechnical systems. The complex properties of real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-21 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano , Piet Van Mieghem , Alessandro Vespignani
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