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Using machine learning algorithms, including deep learning, we studied the prediction of personal attributes from the text of tweets, such as gender, occupation, and age groups. We applied word2vec to construct word vectors, which were then…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Take Yo , Kazutoshi Sasahara

Opinion polls have been the bridge between public opinion and politicians in elections. However, developing surveys to disclose people's feedback with respect to economic issues is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. In recent years,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-07 Amir Karami , London S. Bennett , Xiaoyun He

Social media play a key role in shaping citizens' political opinion. According to the Eurobarometer, the percentage of EU citizens employing online social networks on a daily basis has increased from 18% in 2010 to 48% in 2019. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Tommaso Radicioni , Fabio Saracco , Elena Pavan , Tiziano Squartini

The study involved the analysis of emotion-associated language in the UK Conservative and Labour party general election manifestos between 2000 to 2019. While previous research have shown a general correlation between ideological…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Takumi Nishi

Opinion mining and demographic attribute inference have many applications in social science. In this paper, we propose models to infer daily joint probabilities of multiple latent attributes from Twitter data, such as political sentiment…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Ehsan Mohammady Ardehaly , Aron Culotta

In this paper we illustrate the use of Data Science techniques to analyse complex human communication. In particular, we consider tweets from leaders of political parties as a dynamical proxy to political programmes and ideas. We also study…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Miguel G. Folgado , Verónica Sanz

Opinion mining plays a critical role in understanding public sentiment and preferences, particularly in the context of political elections. Traditional polling methods, while useful, can be expensive and less scalable. Social media offers…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Tuğrulcan Elmas , İlker Gül

Predicting X from Twitter is a popular fad within the Twitter research subculture. It seems both appealing and relatively easy. Among such kind of studies, electoral prediction is maybe the most attractive, and at this moment there is a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Daniel Gayo-Avello

Today, our more-than-ever digital lives leave significant footprints in cyberspace. Large scale collections of these socially generated footprints, often known as big data, could help us to re-investigate different aspects of our social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright

Predicting stock market movements is a well-known problem of interest. Now-a-days social media is perfectly representing the public sentiment and opinion about current events. Especially, twitter has attracted a lot of attention from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Venkata Sasank Pagolu , Kamal Nayan Reddy Challa , Ganapati Panda , Babita Majhi

This paper introduces a large collection of time series data derived from Twitter, postprocessed using word embedding techniques, as well as specialized fine-tuned language models. This data comprises the past five years and captures…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Daniel Loureiro , Kiamehr Rezaee , Talayeh Riahi , Francesco Barbieri , Leonardo Neves , Luis Espinosa Anke , Jose Camacho-Collados

Online Social Networks represent a novel opportunity for political campaigns, revolutionising the paradigm of political communication. Nevertheless, many studies uncovered the presence of d/misinformation campaigns or of malicious…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Matteo Bruno , Renaud Lambiotte , Fabio Saracco

This study aims to understand the South African political context by analysing the sentiments shared on Twitter during the local government elections. An emphasis on the analysis was placed on understanding the discussions led around four…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Mashadi Ledwaba , Vukosi Marivate

Opinion prediction on Twitter is challenging due to the transient nature of tweet content and neighbourhood context. In this paper, we model users' tweet posting behaviour as a temporal point process to jointly predict the posting time and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Lixing Zhu , Yulan He , Deyu Zhou

According to the Eurobarometer report about EU media use of May 2018, the number of European citizens who consult on-line social networks for accessing information is considerably increasing. In this work we analyze approximately $10^6$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-03 Carolina Becatti , Guido Caldarelli , Renaud Lambiotte , Fabio Saracco

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang

Twitter is a social media platform bridging most countries and allows real-time news discovery. Since the tweets on Twitter are usually short and express public feelings, thus provide a source for opinion mining and sentiment analysis for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-29 James She , Kamilla Swart-Arries , Mohammad Belal , Simon Wong

This work is dedicated to finding the determinants of voting behavior in Poland at the poviat level. 2019 parliamentary election has been analyzed and an attempt to explain vote share for the winning party (Law and Justice) has been made.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-08 Grzegorz Krochmal

This work presents a supervised method for generating a classifier model of the stances held by Chinese-speaking politicians and other Twitter users. Many previous works of political tweets prediction exist on English tweets, but to the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Fenglei Gu , Duoji Jiang

We aim at solving the problem of predicting people's ideology, or political tendency. We estimate it by using Twitter data, and formalize it as a classification problem. Ideology-detection has long been a challenging yet important problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Zhiping Xiao , Weiping Song , Haoyan Xu , Zhicheng Ren , Yizhou Sun