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Despite the extensive application of nonlinear Model Predictive Control (MPC) in automated driving, balancing its computational efficiency with respect to the control performance and constraint satisfaction remains a challenge in emergency…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Leila Gharavi , Bart De Schutter , Simone Baldi

Scaling limits are analyzed for stochastic continuous opinion dynamics systems, also known as gossip models. In such models, agents update their vector-valued opinion to a convex combination (possibly agent- and opinion-dependent) of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

The dynamics of opinion formation in a society is a complex phenomenon where many variables play an important role. Recently, the influence of algorithms to filter which content is fed to social networks users has come under scrutiny.…

With the availability of high frequency financial data, nonparametric estimation of volatility of an asset return process becomes feasible. A major problem is how to estimate the volatility consistently and efficiently, when the observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lan Zhang

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

A large number of works aim to alleviate the impact of noise due to an underlying conventional assumption of the negative role of noise. However, some existing works show that the assumption does not always hold. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Hongyuan Zhang , Sida Huang , Yubin Guo , Xuelong Li

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of switching dynamics for switched autoregressive linear models. Switching behavior is assumed to follow a Markov model. The system's outputs are contaminated by possibly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-28 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa

Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-03 Rajesh Ranganath , Sean Gerrish , David M. Blei

We develop a real-time Full Configuration Interaction Quantum Monte Carlo approach for the modeling of driven-dissipative open quantum systems. The method enables stochastic sampling of the Liouville-von-Neumann time evolution of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-06-06 Alexandra Nagy , Vincenzo Savona

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

A Hidden Markov Model for intraday momentum trading is presented which specifies a latent momentum state responsible for generating the observed securities' noisy returns. Existing momentum trading models suffer from time-lagging caused by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-22 Hugh Christensen , Simon Godsill , Richard E Turner

After a general overview of some features of the relaxation dynamics of the Hamiltonian Mean Field model, its equilibrium thermodynamic properties are used to rephrase the out-of-equilibrium regime for energies below the critical point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-16 L. Velazquez , F. Guzman

For a model nonlinear dynamical system, we show how one may obtain its bifurcation behavior by introducing noise into the dynamics and then studying the resulting Langevin dynamics in the weak-noise limit. A suitable quantity to capture the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-02-06 Debraj Das , Sayan Roy , Shamik Gupta

The Ising model is a simple statistical model for ferromagnetism. There are analytic solutions for low dimensions and very efficient Monte Carlo methods, such as cluster algorithms, for simulating this model in special cases. However most…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Johann Ostmeyer , Evan Berkowitz , Thomas Luu , Marcus Petschlies , Ferenc Pittler

The nonequilibrium relaxation (NER) method, which has been used to investigate equilibrium systems via their nonequilibrium behavior, has been widely applied to various models to estimate critical temperatures and critical exponents.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-03 Yuma Osada , Yukiyasu Ozeki

We study the dynamics of the out-of-equilibrium nonlinear q-voter model with two types of susceptible voters and zealots, introduced in [EPL 113, 48001 (2016)]. In this model, each individual supports one of two parties and is either a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-06 Andrew Mellor , Mauro Mobilia , R. K. P. Zia

Objective. Precise control of neural systems is essential to experimental investigations of how the brain controls behavior and holds the potential for therapeutic manipulations to correct aberrant network states. Model predictive control,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Christof Fehrman , C. Daniel Meliza

In the study of social networks, a fundamental problem is that of influence maximization (IM): How can we maximize the collective opinion of individuals in a network given constrained marketing resources? Traditionally, the IM problem has…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-09-30 Christopher Lynn , Daniel D. Lee
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