Related papers: Subsampling Extremes: From Block Maxima to Smooth …
The Peaks-Over Threshold is a fundamental method in the estimation of rare events such as small exceedance probabilities, extreme quantiles and return periods. The main problem with the Peaks-Over Threshold method relates to the selection…
We propose the test for distinguishing between two classes of distribution tails using only the largest order statistics of the sample and state its consistency. We do not assume belonging the corresponding distribution functions to any…
In the paper we propose some new class of functions which is used to construct tail index estimators. Functions from this new class is non-monotone in general, but presents a product of two monotone functions: the power function and the…
We establish new tail estimates for order statistics and for the Euclidean norms of projections of an isotropic log-concave random vector. More generally, we prove tail estimates for the norms of projections of sums of independent…
We introduce a new family of multivariate distributions by taking the component-wise Tukey-h transformation of a random vector following a skew-normal distribution. The proposed distribution is named the skew-normal-Tukey-h distribution and…
Whether an extreme observation is an outlier or not, depends strongly on the corresponding tail behaviour of the underlying distribution. We develop an automatic, data-driven method to identify extreme tail behaviour that deviates from the…
Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…
We use the so-called t-Hill tail index estimator proposed by Fabi\'an(2001), rather than Hill's one, to derive a robust estimator for the distortion risk premium of loss. Under the second-order condition of regular variation, we establish…
The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…
We introduce $\zeta$- and $s$-values as quantile-based standardizations that are particularly suited for hypothesis testing. Unlike p-values, which express tail probabilities, $s$-values measure the number of semi-tail units into a…
Asymptotic normality of extreme value tail estimators received much attention in the literature, giving rise to increasingly complicated 2nd order regularity conditions. However, such conditions are really difficult to be checked for real…
We consider the problem of estimating the tail index $\alpha$ of a distribution satisfying a $(\alpha, \beta)$ second-order Pareto-type condition, where \beta is the second-order coefficient. When $\beta$ is available, it was previously…
The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…
The task of estimation of the tails of probability distributions having small samples seems to be still opened and almost unsolvable. The paper tries to make a step in filling this gap. In 2017 Jordanova et al. introduce six new…
In this paper, we propose a reduced-bias estimator of the EVI for Pareto-type tails (heavy-tailed) distributions. This is derived using the weighted least squares method. It is shown that the estimator is unbiased, consistent and…
We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…
We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…
In this paper, we show how the sampling properties of the Hurst exponent methods of estimation change with the presence of heavy tails. We run extensive Monte Carlo simulations to find out how rescaled range analysis (R/S), multifractal…
Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…
The spectral measure plays a key role in the statistical modeling of multivariate extremes. Estimation of the spectral measure is a complex issue, given the need to obey a certain moment condition. We propose a Euclidean likelihood-based…