Related papers: Persistence probabilities \& exponents

Let $Z_{n}$ be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let $X$ be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming…

Original paper: We revisit the probability that any two consecutive events in a Poisson process N on [0,t] are separated by a time interval which is greater than s(<t) (a particular scan statistic probability), and the closely related…

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

We study quantitative asymptotics of planar random walks that are spatially non-homogeneous but whose mean drifts have some regularity. Specifically, we study the first exit time $\tau_\alpha$ from a wedge with apex at the origin and…

This paper establishes the precise asymptotic behavior, as time $t$ tends to infinity, for nontrivial, decaying solutions of genuinely nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations. The lowest order term in these systems, when the…

We consider the simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ evolving in a random i.i.d. potential taking values in $[0,+\infty)$. The potential is not assumed integrable, and can be rescaled by a multiplicative factor $\lambda > 0$. Completing the…

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

For a random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ that is attracted to a strictly stable process with index $\alpha\in (1, 2)$ we obtain the asymptotic form of the transition probability for the walk killed when it hits a finite set.…

Let $\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with infinite mean $\mathbf E[|\xi_1|]=\infty.$ Consider a random walk $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$, a stopping time $\tau=\min\{n\ge 1: S_n\le 0\}$ and let…

We consider a one-dimensional random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. increments with zero mean and finite variance. We study the asymptotic expansion for the tail distribution $\mathbf P(\tau_x>n)$ of the first passage times…

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. The model considered in the paper is very general as we do not impose any…

The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…

Let (S_1,S_2)=(R \cos(\Theta), R \sin (\Theta)) be a bivariate random vector with associated random radius R which has distribution function $F$ being further independent of the random angle \Theta. In this paper we investigate the…

The exponential functional of simple, symmetric random walks with negative drift is an infinite polynomial $Y = 1 + \xi_1 + \xi_1 \xi_2 + \xi_1 \xi_2 \xi_3 + ...$ of independent and identically distributed non-negative random variables. It…

We consider an obliquely reflected Brownian motion $Z$ with positive drift in a quadrant stopped at time $T$, where $T:=\inf \{ t>0 : Z(t)=(0,0) \}$ is the first hitting time of the origin. Such a process can be defined even in the…

In this paper we consider two branching processes living in a joint random environment. Assuming that both processes are critical we address the following question: What is the probability that both populations survive up to a large time…

We have studied the persistence probability $p(t)$ of an active Brownian particle with shape asymmetry in two dimensions. The persistence probability is defined as the the probability of a stochastic variable that has not changed it's sign…

We analyze the dynamics of the Sisyphus random walk model, a discrete Markov chain in which the walkers may randomly return to their initial position $x_0$. In particular, we present a remarkably compact derivation of the time-dependent…

In this work we study a natural transition mechanism describing the passage from a quenched (almost sure) regime to an annealed (in average) one, for a symmetric simple random walk on random obstacles on sites having an identical and…

We study the behaviour of the leftmost particle in a semi-infinite particle system on $\mathbb{Z}$, where each particle performs a continuous-time nearest-neighbour random walk, with particle-specific jump rates, subject to the exclusion…