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In this paper we study the convergence to fractional Brownian motion for long memory time series having independent innovations with infinite second moment. For the sake of applications we derive the self-normalized version of this theorem.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-25 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

In this article we use a covariance function that arises from limit of fluctuations of the rescaled occupation time process of a branching particle system, to introduce a family of weighted long-range dependence Gaussian processes. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jose Hermenegildo Ramirez Gonzalez , Antonio Murillo Salas , Ying Sun

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

In this paper we introduce a model, the stochastic fractional delay differential equation (SFDDE), which is based on the linear stochastic delay differential equation and produces stationary processes with hyperbolically decaying…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Victor Rohde

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

We study simple approximations to fractional Gaussian noise and fractional Brownian motion. The approximations are based on spectral properties of the noise. They allow one to consider the noise as the result of fractional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. V. Chechkin , V. Yu. Gonchar

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We study transient work Fluctuation Relations (FRs) for Gaussian stochastic systems generating anomalous diffusion. For this purpose we use a Langevin approach by employing two different types of additive noise: (i) internal noise where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-18 Aleksei V. Chechkin , Friedrich Lenz , Rainer Klages

We show by numerical simulations that the correlation function of the random field Ising model (RFIM) in the critical region in three dimensions has very strong fluctuations and that in a finite volume the correlation length is not…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Giorgio Parisi , Nicolas Sourlas

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

A quantity of interest to characterise continuous-valued stochastic processes is the differential entropy rate. The rate of convergence of many properties of LRD processes is slower than might be expected, based on the intuition for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

We study an exactly solvable long-range (LR) transverse-field Ising model (TFIM) with a power-law decaying interaction characterized by a decay exponent {\alpha}. In the thermodynamic limit, the system is adiabatically driven in the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-05-06 Santanu Dhara , Suhas Gangadharaiah

We consider processes with second order long range dependence resulting from heavy tailed durations. We refer to this phenomenon as duration-driven long range dependence (DDLRD), as opposed to the more widely studied linear long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

The sensitivity parameter is widely used for quantifying fine tuning. However, examples show it fails to give correct results under certain circumstances. We argue that the problems of the sensitivity parameter are almost identical to the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-02-05 Su Yan

Our general aim is to give sufficient conditions for robustness behavior and convergence to the equilibrium point of linear time-varying fractional system's solutions. We approach this problem using as a framework a series of recent results…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Javier A. Gallegos , Manuel A. Duarte-Mermoud

Drift diffusion models (DDMs) have found widespread use in computational neuroscience and other fields. They model evidence accumulation in simple decision tasks as a stochastic process drifting towards a decision barrier. In models where…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison