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We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Ian Vernon , John Paul Gosling

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Multimodal electronic health record (EHR) data is useful for disease risk prediction based on medical domain knowledge. However, general medical knowledge must be adapted to specific healthcare settings and patient populations to achieve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mbithe Nzomo , Deshendran Moodley

Multimodel ensembling has been widely used to improve climate model predictions, and the improvement strongly depends on the ensembling scheme. In this work, we propose a Bayesian neural network (BNN) ensembling method, which combines…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-10 Ming Fan , Dan Lu , Deeksha Rastogi , Eric M. Pierce

Bayesian neural networks offer better estimates of model uncertainty compared to frequentist networks. However, inference involving Bayesian models requires multiple instantiations or sampling of the network parameters, requiring…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Prabodh Katti , Anagha Nimbekar , Chen Li , Amit Acharyya , Bashir M. Al-Hashimi , Bipin Rajendran

Neural network ensembles, such as Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), have shown success in the areas of uncertainty estimation and robustness. However, a crucial challenge prohibits their use in practice. BNNs require a large number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Namuk Park , Songkuk Kim

A restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM) is an undirected graphical model constructed for discrete or continuous random variables, with two layers, one hidden and one visible, and no conditional dependency within a layer. In recent years, RBMs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Andee Kaplan , Daniel Nordman , Stephen Vardeman

The estimation of Bayesian networks given high-dimensional data, in particular gene expression data, has been the focus of much recent research. Whilst there are several methods available for the estimation of such networks, these typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-01 Jessica Kasza , Gary Glonek , Patty Solomon

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are powerful tools for various computer vision tasks, yet they often struggle with reliable uncertainty quantification - a critical requirement for real-world applications. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Gianni Franchi , Olivier Laurent , Maxence Leguéry , Andrei Bursuc , Andrea Pilzer , Angela Yao

Bayesian inference is an effective approach for solving statistical learning problems especially with uncertainty and incompleteness. However, inference efficiencies are physically limited by the bottlenecks of conventional computing…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Xiaotao Jia , Jianlei Yang , Zhaohao Wang , Yiran Chen , Hai , Li , Weisheng Zhao

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

Designing reliable networks consists in finding topological structures, which are able to successfully carry out desired processes and operations. When this set of activities performed within a network are unknown and the only available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Stefano Nasini

Mathematical models are indispensable to the system biology toolkit for studying the structure and behavior of intracellular signaling networks. A common approach to modeling is to develop a system of equations that encode the known biology…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-18 Nathaniel Linden-Santangeli , Jin Zhang , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Modeling natural phenomena with artificial neural networks (ANNs) often provides highly accurate predictions. However, ANNs often suffer from over-parameterization, complicating interpretation and raising uncertainty issues. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Eirik Høyheim , Lars Skaaret-Lund , Solve Sæbø , Aliaksandr Hubin

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Nicola Paoletti , Andrea Patane , Matthew Wicker

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

This paper describes a new library for learning Bayesian networks from data containing discrete and continuous variables (mixed data). In addition to the classical learning methods on discretized data, this library proposes its algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Anna V. Bubnova , Irina Deeva , Anna V. Kalyuzhnaya

Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel at predictive tasks on graph-structured data but often lack the ability to incorporate symbolic domain knowledge and perform general reasoning. Relational Bayesian Networks (RBNs), in contrast, enable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Raffaele Pojer , Andrea Passerini , Kim G. Larsen , Manfred Jaeger