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Ordinal cumulative probability models (CPMs) -- also known as cumulative link models -- such as the proportional odds regression model are typically used for discrete ordered outcomes, but can accommodate both continuous and mixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Nathan T. James , Frank E. Harrell , Bryan E. Shepherd

Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) provides a powerful framework for modeling uncertainty and has been widely applied to multi-attribute classification tasks. However, traditional DST-based attribute fusion-based classifiers suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Qiying Hu , Yingying Liang , Qianli Zhou , Witold Pedrycz

We study the rate of Bayesian consistency for hierarchical priors consisting of prior weights on a model index set and a prior on a density model for each choice of model index. Ghosal, Lember and Van der Vaart [2] have obtained general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-23 Yang Xing

Simulation-based calibration (SBC) is a method for validating inference algorithms and model implementations through repeated inference on data simulated from a generative model. For a model to be generative, one must specify proper priors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Luna Fazio , Maximilian Scholz , Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Bayesian clustering typically relies on mixture models, with each component interpreted as a different cluster. After defining a prior for the component parameters and weights, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Alexander Dombowsky , David B. Dunson

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

Even though, many researchers tried to explore the various possibilities on multi objective feature selection, still it is yet to be explored with best of its capabilities in data mining applications rather than going for developing new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-10-26 Mrutyunjaya Panda

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Computational models in fields such as computational neuroscience are often evaluated via stochastic simulation or numerical approximation. Fitting these models implies a difficult optimization problem over complex, possibly noisy parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-03 Luigi Acerbi , Wei Ji Ma

Sparse estimation of the precision matrix under high-dimensional scaling constitutes a canonical problem in statistics and machine learning. Numerous regression and likelihood based approaches, many frequentist and some Bayesian in nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet

Making sense of a dataset in an automatic and unsupervised fashion is a challenging problem in statistics and AI. Classical approaches for {exploratory data analysis} are usually not flexible enough to deal with the uncertainty inherent to…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are increasingly used for inference in situations in which the likelihood function is either computationally costly or intractable to evaluate. Extensions of the basic ABC rejection algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-01 Umberto Simola , Jessica Cisewski-Kehe , Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

The accumulation of time-series data and the absence of labels make time-series Anomaly Detection (AD) a self-supervised deep learning task. Single-normality-assumption-based methods, which reveal only a certain aspect of the whole…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Rui Wang , Chongwei Liu , Xudong Mou , Kai Gao , Xiaohui Guo , Pin Liu , Tianyu Wo , Xudong Liu

Unsupervised learning methods are well established in the area of anomaly detection and achieve state of the art performances on outlier datasets. Outliers play a significant role, since they bear the potential to distort the predictions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Andreas Lohrer , Daniyal Kazempour , Maximilian Hünemörder , Peer Kröger

How should we intervene on an unknown structural equation model to maximize a downstream variable of interest? This setting, also known as causal Bayesian optimization (CBO), has important applications in medicine, ecology, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Scott Sussex , Anastasiia Makarova , Andreas Krause

We propose a novel Bayesian model framework for discrete ordinal and count data based on conditional transformations of the responses. The conditional transformation function is estimated from the data in conjunction with an a priori chosen…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib

Bayesian models provide recursive inference naturally because they can formally reconcile new data and existing scientific information. However, popular use of Bayesian methods often avoids priors that are based on exact posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Mevin B. Hooten , Devin S. Johnson , Brian M. Brost

For many decades now, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) has been a popular framework to systematically account for model uncertainty that arises in situations when multiple competing models are available to describe the same or similar…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-29 Vojtech Kejzlar , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Mookyong Son , Tapabrata Maiti

As a model-based evolutionary algorithm, estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) possesses unique characteristics and has been widely applied to global optimization. However, traditional Gaussian EDA (GEDA) may suffer from premature…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-05 Yongsheng Liang , Zhigang Ren , Bei Pang , An Chen
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