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We study variants of a stochastic game inspired by backgammon where players may propose to double the stake, with the game state dictated by a one-dimensional random walk. Our variants allow for different numbers of proposals and different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Haoru Ju , Daniel Leifer , Steven J. Miller , Sooraj A. Padmanabhan , Chenyang Sun , Luke Tichi , Benjamin Tocher , Kiley Wallace

The main purpose of this study is to introduce a semi-classical model describing betting scenarios in which, at variance with conventional approaches, the payoff of the gambler is encoded into the internal degrees of freedom of a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Salvatore Tirone , Maddalena Ghio , Giulia Livieri , Vittorio Giovannetti , Stefano Marmi

We introduce and study pawn games, a class of two-player zero-sum turn-based graph games. A turn-based graph game proceeds by placing a token on an initial vertex, and whoever controls the vertex on which the token is located, chooses its…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Guy Avni , Pranav Ghorpade , Shibashis Guha

This paper studies a two-person trading game in continuous time that generalizes Garivaltis (2018) to allow for stock prices that both jump and diffuse. Analogous to Bell and Cover (1988) in discrete time, the players start by choosing fair…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

The Multiplicative Weights Update (MWU) method is a ubiquitous meta-algorithm that works as follows: A distribution is maintained on a certain set, and at each step the probability assigned to element $\gamma$ is multiplied by $(1 -\epsilon…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-06 Gerasimos Palaiopanos , Ioannis Panageas , Georgios Piliouras

This paper studies a new and more general axiomatization than one presented previously for preference on likelihood gambles. Likelihood gambles describe actions in a situation where a decision maker knows multiple probabilistic models and a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Phan H. Giang

We study multistep Bayesian betting strategies in coin-tossing games in the framework of game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001). We show that by a countable mixture of these strategies, a gambler or an investor can exploit…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-23 Kei Takeuchi , Masayuki Kumon , Akimichi Takemura

We consider a large community of individuals who mix strongly and meet in pairs to bet on a coin toss. We investigate the asset distribution of the players involved in this zero-sum repeated game. Our main result is that the asset…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Romulus Breban

In an equity market model with "Knightian" uncertainty regarding the relative risk and covariance structure of its assets, we characterize in several ways the highest return relative to the market that can be achieved using nonanticipative…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Daniel Fernholz , Ioannis Karatzas

We introduce an evolutionary game with feedback between perception and reality, which we call the reality game. It is a game of chance in which the probabilities for different objective outcomes (e.g., heads or tails in a coin toss) depend…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-09 Dmitriy Cherkashin , J. Doyne Farmer , Seth Lloyd

Many-body dynamical models in which Boltzmann statistics can be derived directly from the underlying dynamical laws without invoking the fundamental postulates of statistical mechanics are scarce. Interestingly, one such model is found in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-06 Maggie Miao , Kristian Blom , Dmitrii E. Makarov

This paper studies a sequential decision problem where payoff distributions are known and where the riskiness of payoffs matters. Equivalently, it studies sequential choice from a repeated set of independent lotteries. The decision-maker is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-02 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein , Guodong Zhang

Evolutionary game theory is a powerful mathematical framework to study how intelligent individuals adjust their strategies in collective interactions. It has been widely believed that it is impossible to unilaterally control players'…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Renfei Tan , Qi Su , Bin Wu , Long Wang

In this work we propose and develop modified quantum games (zero and non-zero sum) in which payoffs and strategies are entangled. For the games studied, Nash and Pareto equilibriums are always obtained indicating that there are some…

Using methods from the statistical mechanics of disordered systems we analyze the properties of bimatrix games with random payoffs in the limit where the number of pure strategies of each player tends to infinity. We analytically calculate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Johannes Berg

Understanding the properties of games played under computational constraints remains challenging. For example, how do we expect rational (but computationally bounded) players to play games with a prohibitively large number of states, such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Thomas Orton

Moves in chess games are usually analyzed on a case-by-case basis by professional players, but thanks to the availability of large game databases, we can envision another approach of the game. Here, we indeed adopt a very different point of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-01 Marc Barthelemy

We introduce and discuss a nonlinear kinetic equation of Boltzmann type which describes the evolution of wealth in a pure gambling process, where the entire sum of wealths of two agents is up for gambling, and randomly shared between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Federico Bassetti , Giuseppe Toscani

A quantum board game is a multi-round protocol between a single quantum player against the quantum board. Molina and Watrous discovered quantum hedging. They gave an example for perfect quantum hedging: a board game with winning probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-06-19 Maor Ganz , Or Sattath

The game in which acts of participants don't have an adequate description in terms of Boolean logic and classical theory of probabilities is considered. The model of the game interaction is constructed on the basis of a non-distributive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrey Grib , Georges Parfionov
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