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We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We investigate the behaviour of the genealogy of a Wright-Fisher population model under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect. More precisely, we consider a simple seed-bank age distribution with two atoms, leading to either classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt

This paper generalizes the strong seed-bank model introduced in arXiv:1411.4747 to allow for more general dormancy time distributions, such as a type of Pareto distribution. Inspired by the method of approximation using models with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Likai Jiao

We dedicate this paper to Sir John Kingman on his 70th Birthday. In modern mathematical population genetics the ancestral history of a population of genes back in time is described by John Kingman's coalescent tree. Classical and modern…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-25 Robert C. Griffiths , Dario Spano`

We introduce a new Wright-Fisher type model for seed banks incorporating "simultaneous switching", which is motivated by recent work on microbial dormancy. We show that the simultaneous switching mechanism leads to a new jump-diffusion…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

In this article, we derive statistical tools to analyze and distinguish the patterns of genetic variability produced by classical and recent population genetic models related to seed banks. In particular, we are concerned with models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-10 Jochen Blath , Eugenio Buzzoni , Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke Berenguer

We study how changes in population size and fluctuating environmental conditions influence the establishment of seed banks in plants. Our model is a modification of the Wright-Fisher model with seed bank, introduced by Kaj, Krone and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Alison Etheridge , João Luiz de Oliveira Madeira

We consider the Wright-Fisher model for a population of $N$ individuals, each identified with a sequence of a finite number of sites, and single-crossover recombination between them. We trace back the ancestry of single individuals from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Ellen Baake , Ute von Wangenheim

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

We investigate various aspects of the (biallelic) Wright-Fisher diffusion with seed bank in conjunction with and contrast to the two-island model analysed e.g. in Kermany, Zhou and Hickey, 2008, and Nath and Griffiths, 1993, including…

Kingman's coalescent is one of the most popular models in population genetics. It describes the genealogy of a population whose genetic composition evolves in time according to the Wright-Fisher model, or suitable approximations of it…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-20 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Paul A. Jenkins

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Using graphical methods based on a `lookdown' and pruned version of the {\em ancestral selection graph}, we obtain a representation of the type distribution of the ancestor in a two-type Wright-Fisher population with mutation and selection,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Ute Lenz , Anton Wakolbinger

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer
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