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We consider the problem of combining data from observational and experimental sources to make causal conclusions. This problem is increasingly relevant, as the modern era has yielded passive collection of massive observational datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Evan Rosenman , Guillaume Basse , Art Owen , Michael Baiocchi

We study the Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) algorithm, which optimises a set of particles to approximate a target probability distribution $\pi\propto e^{-V}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$. In the population limit, SVGD performs gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Anna Korba , Adil Salim , Michael Arbel , Giulia Luise , Arthur Gretton

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

This paper considers the regularized Tyler's scatter estimator for elliptical distributions, which has received considerable attention recently. Various types of shrinkage Tyler's estimators have been proposed in the literature and proved…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

This paper considers statistical estimation problems where the probability distribution of the observed random variable is invariant with respect to actions of a finite topological group. It is shown that any such distribution must satisfy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-23 Yu-Hui Chen , Dennis Wei , Gregory Newstadt , Marc DeGraef , Jeffrey Simmons , Alfred Hero

In this paper we extend Stein's method to the distribution of the product of $n$ independent mean zero normal random variables. A Stein equation is obtained for this class of distributions, which reduces to the classical normal Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Robert E. Gaunt

A mean function in reproducing kernel Hilbert space, or a kernel mean, is an important part of many applications ranging from kernel principal component analysis to Hilbert-space embedding of distributions. Given finite samples, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-07 Krikamol Muandet , Kenji Fukumizu , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Arthur Gretton , Bernhard Schölkopf

We consider the problem of efficiently computing the maximum likelihood estimator in Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) when the number of observations is much larger than the number of coefficients ($n \gg p \gg 1$). In this regime,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Murat A. Erdogdu

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

New bounds for the $k$-th order derivatives of the solutions of the normal and multivariate normal Stein equations are obtained. Our general order bounds involve fewer derivatives of the test function than those in the existing literature.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Robert E. Gaunt

In bayesian wavelet shrinkage, the already proposed priors to wavelet coefficients are assumed to be symmetric around zero. Although this assumption is reasonable in many applications, it is not general. The present paper proposes the use…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

Shrinkage methods are frequently used to improve the precision of least squares estimators of fixed effects. However, widely used shrinkage estimators guarantee improved precision only under strong distributional assumptions. I develop an…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Soonwoo Kwon

We study random spherical harmonics at shrinking scales. We compare the mass assigned to a small spherical cap with its area, and find the smallest possible scale at which, with high probability, the discrepancy between them is small…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Matthew de Courcy-Ireland

We introduce $\textit{Stein transport}$, a novel methodology for Bayesian inference designed to efficiently push an ensemble of particles along a predefined curve of tempered probability distributions. The driving vector field is chosen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-02 Nikolas Nüsken

How to distribute a set of points uniformly on a spherical surface is a very old problem that still lacks a definite answer. In this work, we introduce a physical measure of uniformity based on the distribution of distances between points,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Luca Maria Del Bono , Flavio Nicoletti , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

In this work, we contribute to the broader understanding of inverse problems by introducing a versatile multiscale modeling framework tailored to the challenges of sediment concentration estimation. Specifically, we propose a novel approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Jiwei Li , Lingyun Qiu , Zhongjing Wang , Hui Yu , Siqin Zheng

In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

Prediction of a vector of ordered parameters or part of it arises naturally in the context of Small Area Estimation (SAE). For example, one may want to estimate the parameters associated with the top ten areas, the best or worst area, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 Yaakov Malinovsky , Yosef Rinott

We develop a multidimensional Stein methodology for non-degenerate self-decomposable random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ having finite first moment. Building on previous univariate findings, we solve an integro-partial differential Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Benjamin Arras , Christian Houdré
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