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Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

We consider the problem of adaptive stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a noisy function, given a finite budget n of noisy evaluations to the function. We tackle in this paper the problem of adapting to the function at the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-13 Alexandra Carpentier , Remi Munos

Well-spread samples are desirable in many disciplines because they improve estimation when target variables exhibit spatial structure. This paper introduces an integrated methodological framework for spreading samples over the population's…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Bardia Panahbehagh , Mehdi Mohebbi , Amir Mohammad HosseiniNasab

Model performance evaluation is a critical and expensive task in machine learning and computer vision. Without clear guidelines, practitioners often estimate model accuracy using a one-time completely random selection of the data. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Mathew Monfort , Pietro Perona

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

A quick count seeks to estimate the voting trends of an election and communicate them to the population on the evening of the same day of the election. In quick counts, the sampling is based on a stratified design of polling stations.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-17 Carlos Rodríguez , Luis Nieto-Barajas , Carlos Pérez-Pérez

We consider the problem of numerical approximation of integrals of random fields over a unit hypercube. We use a stratified Monte Carlo quadrature and measure the approximation performance by the mean squared error. The quadrature is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

We investigate the use of a stratified sampling approach for LIME Image, a popular model-agnostic explainable AI method for computer vision tasks, in order to reduce the artifacts generated by typical Monte Carlo sampling. Such artifacts…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio G. Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

A balanced sampling design should always be the adopted strategies if auxiliary information is available. Besides, integrating a stratified structure of the population in the sampling process can considerably reduce the variance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 Raphaël Jauslin , Esther Eustache , Yves Tillé

In the design and analysis of political redistricting maps, it is often useful to be able to sample from the space of all partitions of the graph of census blocks into connected subgraphs of equal population. There are influential Markov…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Ariel D. Procaccia , Jamie Tucker-Foltz

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

We present an aid for importance sampling in Monte Carlo integration, which is of the general-purpose type in the sense that it in principle deals with any quadratically integrable integrand on a unit hyper-cube of arbitrary dimension. In…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-07-29 A. van Hameren

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

Using sample surveys as a cost effective tool to provide estimates for characteristics of interest at population and sub-populations (area/domain) level has a long tradition in "small area estimation". However, the existence of outliers in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Setareh Ranjbar , Elvezio Ronchetti , Stefan Sperlich

Selective adsorption in a two-dimensional model of a binary hard-disk mixture on patterned adhesive surfaces is studied using grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations. The two species have equal diameters and equal bulk chemical potentials,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-05-21 Nazar Kukarkin , Taras Patsahan

We define several new models for how to define anomalous regions among enormous sets of trajectories. These are based on spatial scan statistics, and identify a geometric region which captures a subset of trajectories which are…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Michael Matheny , Dong Xie , Jeff M. Phillips

In the matter of selection of sample time points for the estimation of the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process, irregular sampling schemes such as Poisson sampling are often preferred over regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-19 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

A utility-function approach to optimal spatial sampling design is a powerful way to quantify what "optimality" means. The emphasis then should be to capture all possible contributions to utility, including scientific impact and the cost of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Noel Cressie , Raymond L. Chambers