Related papers: Large deviations for excursions of non-homogeneous…
The large deviations at various levels that are explicit for Markov jump processes satisfying detailed-balance are revisited in terms of the supersymmetric quantum Hamiltonian $H$ that can be obtained from the Markov generator via a…
A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…
For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…
This article studies the convergence properties of trans-dimensional MCMC algorithms when the total number of models is finite. It is shown that, for reversible and some non-reversible trans-dimensional Markov chains, under mild conditions,…
In this paper we discuss how the notion of subgeometric ergodicity in Markov chain theory can be exploited to study stationarity and ergodicity of nonlinear time series models. Subgeometric ergodicity means that the transition probability…
Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…
We study large deviations of the size of the largest connected component in a general class of inhomogeneous random graphs with iid weights, parametrized so that the degree distribution is regularly varying. We derive a large-deviation…
Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…
We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…
For a multivariate random walk with i.i.d. jumps satisfying the Cramer moment condition and having a mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant…
We study the temporal dissipation of variance and relative entropy for ergodic Markov Chains in continuous time, and compute explicitly the corresponding dissipation rates. These are identified, as is well known, in the case of the variance…
The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…
We study using large deviation theory the fluctuations of time-integrated functionals or observables of the unbiased random walk evolving on Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graphs, and construct a modified, biased random walk that explains how these…
The zig-zag process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process in position and velocity space. The process can be designed to have an arbitrary Gibbs type marginal probability density for its position coordinate, which makes it suitable…
Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…
We compute the average shape of trajectories of some one--dimensional stochastic processes x(t) in the (t,x) plane during an excursion, i.e. between two successive returns to a reference value, finding that it obeys a scaling form. For…
We are concerned with the absolute continuity of stationary distributions corresponding to some piecewise deterministic Markov process, being typically encountered in biological models. The process under investigation involves a…
For given two standard processes with no positive jumps, we construct, using the excursion theory, a Markov process whose positive and negative motions have the same law as the two processes. The resulting process is a generalization of…
The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…
In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…