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We propose a Bayesian propensity score-augmented latent factor model for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data. The framework explicitly models the treatment assignment mechanism by incorporating latent factor loadings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Licheng Liu

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

Typical models of learning assume incremental estimation of continuously-varying decision variables like expected rewards. However, this class of models fails to capture more idiosyncratic, discrete heuristics and strategies that people and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Carlos G. Correa , Thomas L. Griffiths , Nathaniel D. Daw

Matrix factorization is a common machine learning technique for recommender systems. Despite its high prediction accuracy, the Bayesian Probabilistic Matrix Factorization algorithm (BPMF) has not been widely used on large scale data because…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Tom Vander Aa , Imen Chakroun , Tom Haber

We introduce a Bayesian perspective for the structured matrix factorization problem. The proposed framework provides a probabilistic interpretation for existing geometric methods based on determinant minimization. We model input data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Gokcan Tatli , Alper T. Erdogan

Predicting user affinity to items is an important problem in applications like content optimization, computational advertising, and many more. While bilinear random effect models (matrix factorization) provide state-of-the-art performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-26 Rajiv Khanna , Liang Zhang , Deepak Agarwal , Beechung Chen

Matrix factorization exploits the idea that, in complex high-dimensional data, the actual signal typically lies in lower-dimensional structures. These lower dimensional objects provide useful insight, with interpretability favored by sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Lorenzo Schiavon , Bernardo Nipoti , Antonio Canale

Machine learning strategies like multi-task learning, meta-learning, and transfer learning enable efficient adaptation of machine learning models to specific applications in healthcare, such as prediction of various diseases, by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Sophie Wharrie , Lisa Eick , Lotta Mäkinen , Andrea Ganna , Samuel Kaski , FinnGen

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Robert Pinsler , Jonathan Gordon , Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Bayesian networks have been used extensively in diagnostic tasks such as medicine, where they represent the dependency relations between a set of symptoms and a set of diseases. A criticism of this type of knowledge representation is that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Sucar , Duncan F. Gillies

Bayesian models of cognition hypothesize that human brains make sense of data by representing probability distributions and applying Bayes' rule to find the best explanation for available data. Understanding the neural mechanisms underlying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Milad Kharratzadeh , Thomas R. Shultz

We deal with Bayesian inference for Beta autoregressive processes. We restrict our attention to the class of conditionally linear processes. These processes are particularly suitable for forecasting purposes, but are difficult to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 R. Casarin , L. Dalla Valle , F. Leisen

Probabilistic graphical models compactly represent joint distributions by decomposing them into factors over subsets of random variables. In Bayesian networks, the factors are conditional probability distributions. For many problems, common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-21 Weirui Kong , Wenyi Wang

The use of mutual information as a similarity measure in agglomerative hierarchical clustering (AHC) raises an important issue: some correction needs to be applied for the dimensionality of variables. In this work, we formulate the decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-07 Guillaume Marrelec , Arnaud Messé , Pierre Bellec

Reinforcement learning methods are increasingly used to optimise dialogue policies from experience. Most current techniques are model-free: they directly estimate the utility of various actions, without explicit model of the interaction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Pierre Lison

We consider a multitask learning problem, in which several predictors are learned jointly. Prior research has shown that learning the relations between tasks, and between the input features, together with the predictor, can lead to better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Han Zhao , Otilia Stretcu , Alex Smola , Geoff Gordon

A core tension in models of concept learning is that the model must carefully balance the tractability of inference against the expressivity of the hypothesis class. Humans, however, can efficiently learn a broad range of concepts. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Ellis

This paper overviews an approach that addresses machine learning over relational data as a database problem. This is justified by two observations. First, the input to the learning task is commonly the result of a feature extraction query…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Dan Olteanu

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko