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We develop and analyze methods for computing provably optimal {\em maximum a posteriori} (MAP) configurations for a subclass of Markov random fields defined on graphs with cycles. By decomposing the original distribution into a convex…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan S. Willsky

Regression trees and their ensemble methods are popular methods for nonparametric regression: they combine strong predictive performance with interpretable estimators. To improve their utility for locally smooth response surfaces, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Sören R. Künzel , Theo F. Saarinen , Edward W. Liu , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Markov random fields are common prior distributions used in Bayesian inverse imaging problems. In particular, difference priors assign probability distributions to differences between neighbouring pixels, such as Gaussian, Laplace, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jasper Marijn Everink

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Tree search algorithms, such as branch-and-bound, are the most widely used tools for solving combinatorial and nonconvex problems. For example, they are the foremost method for solving (mixed) integer programs and constraint satisfaction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Maria-Florina Balcan , Travis Dick , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

This work proposes a non-iterative strategy for missing value imputations which is guided by similarity between observations, but instead of explicitly determining distances or nearest neighbors, it assigns observations to overlapping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 David Cortes

A novel strategy that combines a given collection of $\pi$-reversible Markov kernels is proposed. At each Markov transition, one of the available kernels is selected via a state-dependent probability distribution. In contrast to random-scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Florian Maire , Pierre Vandekerkhove

We derive two related novel bounds on single-variable marginal probability distributions in factor graphs with discrete variables. The first method propagates bounds over a subtree of the factor graph rooted in the variable, and the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-25 Joris M. Mooij , Hilbert J. Kappen

We consider random instances of non-convex perceptron problems in the high-dimensional limit of a large number of examples $M$ and weights $N$, with finite load $\alpha = M/N$. We develop a formalism based on replica theory to predict the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-11 Elizaveta Demyanenko , Davide Straziota , Carlo Baldassi , Carlo Lucibello

This paper is a variation on the uniform spanning tree theme. We use random spanning forests to solve the following problem: for a Markov process on a finite set of size $n$, find a probability law on the subsets of any given size $m \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Luca Avena , Alexandre Gaudillière

Vector autoregression has been widely used for modeling and analysis of multivariate time series data. In high-dimensional settings, model parameter regularization schemes inducing sparsity yield interpretable models and achieved good…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Leo L. Duan , Zeyu Yuwen , George Michailidis , Zhengwu Zhang

A novel approach for non-intrusive uncertainty propagation is proposed. Our approach overcomes the limitation of many traditional methods, such as generalised polynomial chaos methods, which may lack sufficient accuracy when the quantity of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Yous van Halder , Benjamin Sanderse , Barry Koren

A stochastic incremental subgradient algorithm for the minimization of a sum of convex functions is introduced. The method sequentially uses partial subgradient information and the sequence of partial subgradients is determined by a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Rafael Massambone , Eduardo F. Costa , Elias S. Helou

This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

We study the low-degree hardness of broadcasting on trees. Broadcasting on trees has been extensively studied in statistical physics, in computational biology in relation to phylogenetic reconstruction and in statistics and computer science…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Han Huang , Elchanan Mossel

Rooted trees with probabilities are convenient to represent a class of random processes with memory. They allow to describe and analyze variable length codes for data compression and distribution matching. In this work, the Leaf-Average…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-05 Georg Böcherer

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

In the quest for scalable Bayesian computational algorithms we need to exploit the full potential of existing methodologies. In this note we point out that message passing algorithms, which are very well developed for inference in graphical…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-05 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Giacomo Zanella

In this paper, we address the inverse problem, or the statistical machine learning problem, in Markov random fields with a non-parametric pair-wise energy function with continuous variables. The inverse problem is formulated by maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-02 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka

Biological networks often encapsulate promotion/inhibition as signed edge-weights of a graph. Nodes may correspond to genes assigned expression levels (mass) of respective proteins. The promotion/inhibition nature of co-expression between…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-21 Anqi Dong , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Allen Tannenbaum