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Possibility theory offers either a qualitive, or a numerical framework for representing uncertainty, in terms of dual measures of possibility and necessity. This leads to the existence of two kinds of possibilistic causal graphs where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Salem Benferhat , Didier Dubois , Souhila Kaci , Henri Prade

There are two prominent paradigms to the modeling of networks: in the first, referred to as the mechanistic approach, one specifies a set of domain-specific mechanistic rules that are used to grow or evolve the network over time; in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-24 Ravi Goyal , JP Onnela

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Humans currently use arguments for explaining choices which are already made, or for evaluating potential choices. Each potential choice has usually pros and cons of various strengths. In spite of the usefulness of arguments in a decision…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Leila Amgoud , Henri Prade

The paper introduces mixed networks, a new framework for expressing and reasoning with probabilistic and deterministic information. The framework combines belief networks with constraint networks, defining the semantics and graphical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Rina Dechter , Robert Mateescu

Neural networks are becoming a popular tool for solving many real-world problems such as object recognition and machine translation, thanks to its exceptional performance as an end-to-end solution. However, neural networks are complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Guoliang Dong , Jingyi Wang , Jun Sun , Yang Zhang , Xinyu Wang , Ting Dai , Jin Song Dong , Xingen Wang

Neural Networks and Decision Trees: two popular techniques for supervised learning that are seemingly disconnected in their formulation and optimization method, have recently been combined in a single construct. The connection pivots on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Kaspar Thommen

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

The aim of this paper is to propose a generalization of previous approaches in qualitative decision making. Our work is based on the binary possibilistic utility (PU), which is a possibilistic counterpart of Expected Utility (EU).We first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Paul Weng

With the advance of efficient analytical methods for sensitivity analysis ofprobabilistic networks, the interest in the sensitivities revealed by real-life networks is rekindled. As the amount of data resulting from a sensitivity analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Linda C. van der Gaag , Silja Renooij

Pertinence Feedback is a technique that enables a user to interactively express his information requirement by modifying his original query formulation with further information. This information is provided by explicitly confirming the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-06 Mohamed Nazih Omri

We develop operators for construction of proposals in probabilistic programs, which we refer to as inference combinators. Inference combinators define a grammar over importance samplers that compose primitive operations such as application…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-18 Sam Stites , Heiko Zimmermann , Hao Wu , Eli Sennesh , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Although the usefulness of belief networks for reasoning under uncertainty is widely accepted, obtaining numerical probabilities that they require is still perceived a major obstacle. Often not enough statistical data is available to allow…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Marek J. Druzdzel , Linda C. van der Gaag

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

In this paper some initial work towards a new approach to qualitative reasoning under uncertainty is presented. This method is not only applicable to qualitative probabilistic reasoning, as is the case with other methods, but also allows…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Simon Parsons , E. H. Mamdani

In a standard possibilistic logic, prioritized information are encoded by means of weighted knowledge base. This paper proposes an extension of possibilistic logic for dealing with partially ordered information. We Show that all basic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Salem Benferhat , Sylvain Lagrue , Odile Papini

Even though probabilistic treatments of neural networks have a long history, they have not found widespread use in practice. Sampling approaches are often too slow already for simple networks. The size of the inputs and the depth of typical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Jochen Gast , Stefan Roth

Discovery of an accurate causal Bayesian network structure from observational data can be useful in many areas of science. Often the discoveries are made under uncertainty, which can be expressed as probabilities. To guide the use of such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Fattaneh Jabbari , Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper