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Related papers: The thermodynamics of prediction

200 papers

Markedly increased computational power and data acquisition have led to growing interest in data-driven inverse dynamics problems. These seek to answer a fundamental question: What can we learn from time series measurements of a complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-29 Jinghao Lyu , Kyle J. Ray , James P. Crutchfield

The study of intelligent systems explains behaviour in terms of economic rationality. This results in an optimization principle involving a function or utility, which states that the system will evolve until the configuration of maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Pedro Hack

A set of core features is set forth as the essence of a thermodynamic description, which derive from large-deviation properties in systems with hierarchies of timescales, but which are \emph{not} dependent upon conservation laws or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Eric Smith

Irreversible processes accomplished in a fixed time involve nonlinearly coupled flows of matter, energy, and information. Here, using entropy production as an example, we show how thermodynamic uncertainty relations and speed limits on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Schuyler B. Nicholson , Jason R. Green

This paper provides a perspective on applying the concepts of information thermodynamics, developed recently in non-equilibrium statistical physics, to problems in theoretical neuroscience. Historically, information and energy in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-27 Jan Karbowski

Ability of dynamical systems to relax to equilibrium has been investigated since the invention of statistical mechanics, which establishes the connection between dynamics of many-body Hamiltonian systems and phenomenological thermodynamics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-01 K. S. Glavatskiy , V. L. Kulinskii

Small systems in a thermodynamic medium --- like colloids in a suspension or the molecular machinery in living cells --- are strongly affected by the thermal fluctuations of their environment. Physicists model such systems by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-16 Bernhard Altaner

In view of the relation between information and thermodynamics we investigate how much information about an external protocol can be stored in the memory of a stochastic measurement device given an energy budget. We consider a layered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-28 Stefano Bo , Marco Del Giudice , Antonio Celani

In the real world, one almost never knows the parameters of a thermodynamic process to infinite precision. Reflecting this, here we investigate how to extend stochastic thermodynamics to systems with uncertain parameters, including…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-17 Jan Korbel , David H. Wolpert

The linear response to temperature changes is derived for systems with overdamped stochastic dynamics. Holding both in transient and steady state conditions, the results allow to compute nonequilibrium thermal susceptibilities from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-11 Gianmaria Falasco , Marco Baiesi

In traditional thermodynamical and statistical-mechanical approaches one has (some) detailed knowledge of the principles governing the microdynamics of a system. However in many instances we may not have a Hamiltonian or good information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Ford

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Nonreciprocal interactions that violate Newton's law 'actio=reactio' are ubiquitous in nature and are currently intensively investigated in active matter, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and many other fields. An…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-24 Atul Tanaji Mohite , Heiko Rieger

In these lecture notes, the basic principles of stochastic thermodynamics are developed starting with a closed system in contact with a heat bath. A trajectory undergoes Markovian transitions between observable meso-states that correspond…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-13 Udo Seifert

We propose predictive information, that is information between a long past of duration T and the entire infinitely long future of a time series, as a universal order parameter to study phase transitions in physical systems. It can be used,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-04 Martin Tchernookov , Ilya Nemenman

A general formulation of stochastic thermodynamics is presented for open systems exchanging energy and particles with multiple reservoirs. By introducing a partition in terms of "macrostates" (e.g. sets of "microstates"), the consequence on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Massimiliano Esposito

A prediction makes a claim about a system's future given knowledge of its past. A retrodiction makes a claim about its past given knowledge of its future. The bidirectional machine is an ambidextrous hidden Markov chain that does both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-24 Alexandra Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Gathering information about a system enables greater control over it. This principle lies at the core of information engines, which use measurement-based feedback to rectify thermal noise and convert information into work. Originating from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-24 Rémi Goerlich , Laura Hoek , Omer Chor , Saar Rahav , Yael Roichman

The response of ecosystems to perturbations is considered from a thermodynamic perspective by acknowledging that, as for all macroscopic systems and processes, the dynamics and stability of ecosystems is subject to definite thermodynamic…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-09-26 K. Michaelian , V. Alonso Chavez

Passivity is a fundamental concept in thermodynamics that demands a quantum system's energy cannot be lowered by any reversible, unitary process acting on the system. In the limit of many such systems, passivity leads in turn to the concept…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-12-14 Carlo Sparaciari , David Jennings , Jonathan Oppenheim