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This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

Evaluating a country's sporting success provides insight into its decision-making and infrastructure for developing athletic talent. The Olympic Games serve as a global benchmark, yet conventional medal rankings can be unduly influenced by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Cormac MacDermott , Carl J. Scarrott , John Ferguson

The International Swimming Federation (FINA) uses a very simple points system with the aim to rank swimmers across all Olympic events. The points acquired is a function of the ratio of the recorded time and the current world record for that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden , Grace Bennett

The development of sport performances in the future is a subject of myth and disagreement among experts. As arguments favoring and opposing such methodology were discussed, other publications empirically showed that the past development of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-01-30 Geoffroy Berthelot

In the Olympic Games, professional athletes representing their nations compete regardless of economic, political and cultural differences. In this study, we apply gravity model to observe characteristics, represented by distances among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 Hyeseung Choi , Hyungsoo Woo , Ji-Hyun Kim , Jae-Suk Yang

Track and field world records have risen and fallen throughout the history of the sport. A recent rash of record-breaking performances has prompted the question: "How good can we get?". This article offers a review of several attempts to…

Popular Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. R. Mureika

Because the decathlon tests many facets of athleticism, including sprinting, throwing, jumping, and endurance, many consider it to be the ultimate test of athletic ability. On this view, estimating the maximal decathlon score and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-06 Paul-Hieu V. Nguyen , James M. Smoliga , Benton Lindaman , Sameer K. Deshpande

Though athletics statistics are abundant, it is a difficult task to quantitatively compare performances from different events of track, field, and road running in a meaningful way. There are several commonly-used methods, but each has its…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-27 Brian Godsey

Professional sports enhance interaction among athletes through training groups, sponsored events and competitions. Among these, the Olympic Games represent the largest competition with a global impact, providing the participants with a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-29 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Lluís Arola-Fernández

Forecasting the number of Olympic medals for each nation is highly relevant for different stakeholders: Ex ante, sports betting companies can determine the odds while sponsors and media companies can allocate their resources to promising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Christoph Schlembach , Sascha L. Schmidt , Dominik Schreyer , Linus Wunderlich

We provide scientific foundations for athletic performance prediction on an individual level, exposing the phenomenology of individual athletic running performance in the form of a low-rank model dominated by an individual power law. We…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-28 Duncan A. J. Blythe , Franz J. Király

Sport climbing, which made its Olympic debut at the 2020 Summer Games, generally consists of three separate disciplines: speed climbing, bouldering, and lead climbing. However, the International Olympic Committee (IOC) only allowed one set…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-06 Quang Nguyen , Hannah Butler , Gregory J. Matthews

World record setting has long attracted public interest and scientific investigation. Extremal records summarize the limits of the space explored by a process, and the historical progression of a record sheds light on the underlying…

Athletic performance follows a typical pattern of improvement and decline during a career. This pattern is also often observed within-seasons, as an athlete aims for their performance to peak at key events such as the Olympic Games or World…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-12 M. Spyropoulou , J. G. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

The Olympic Games are an important sporting event with notable consequences for the general economic landscape of the host city. Traditional economic assessments focus on the aggregated impact of the event on the national income, but fail…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-01 Petko Georgiev , Anastasios Noulas , Cecilia Mascolo

The Olympic Games are the largest, highest-profile, and most expensive megaevent hosted by cities and nations. Average sports-related costs of hosting are $12.0 billion. Non-sports-related costs are typically several times that. Every…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Bent Flyvbjerg , Alexander Budzier , Daniel Lunn

Running world records (WRs) contain information about physiological characteristics that determine running performance. The progression of WRs over time encode the evolution of these characteristics. Here we demonstrate that a previously…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Thorsten Emig , Guillaume Adam

Models for human running performances of various complexities and underlying principles have been proposed, often combining data from world record performances and bio-energetic facts of human physiology. Here we present a novel, minimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-06 Matthew Mulligan , Guillaume Adam , Thorsten Emig

World records in athletics provide a measure of physical as well as physiological human performance. Here we analyse running records and show that the mean speed as a function of race time can be described by two scaling laws that have a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-05-10 Sandra Savaglio , Vincenzo Carbone

Discussions on outstanding---positively and/or negatively---athletes are common practice. The rapidly grown amount of collected sports data now allow to support such discussions with state of the art statistical methodology. Given a…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-11 Manuel J. A. Eugster
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