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The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Marek Arendarczyk

We study pointwise estimation and uncertainty quantification for a sparse variational Gaussian process method with eigenvector inducing variables. For a rescaled Brownian motion prior, we derive theoretical guarantees and limitations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Luke Travis , Kolyan Ray

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes , Tomasz Rolski

The stochastic motion of a particle with long-range correlated increments (the moving phase) which is intermittently interrupted by immobilizations (the traping phase) in a disordered medium is considered in the presence of an external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-31 Yingjie Liang , Wei Wang , Ralf Metzler

We consider the integral of fractional Brownian motion (IFBM) and its functionals $\xi_T$ on the intervals $(0,T)$ and $(-T,T)$ of the following types: the maximum $M_T$, the position of the maximum, the occupation time above zero etc. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. M. Molchan , A. V. Khokhlov

For n + 1 particles moving independently on a straight line, we study the question of how long the leading position of one of them can last. Our focus is the asymptotics of the probability p(T,n) that the leader time will exceed T when n…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 G. Molchan

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

We compute the Wiener chaos decomposition of the signature for a class of Gaussian processes, which contains fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter H in (1/4, 1). At level 0, our result yields an expression for the expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Emilio Ferrucci , Thomas Cass

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

Brownian particles in random potentials show an extended regime of subdiffusive dynamics at intermediate times. The asymptotic diffusive behavior is often established at very long times and thus cannot be accessed in experiments or…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-05-22 Richard D. L. Hanes , Michael Schmiedeberg , Stefan U. Egelhaaf

Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) is the only Gaussian self-similar process with stationary increments. Its increment process, called fractional Gaussian noise, is ergodic and exhibits a property of power-like decaying autocorrelation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Michal Balcerek , Krzysztof Burnecki

Brownian motion is a central scientific paradigm. Recently, due to increasing efforts and interests towards miniaturization and small-scale physics or biology, the effects of confinement on such a motion have become a key topic of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-13 Elodie Millan , Maxime Lavaud , Yacine Amarouchene , Thomas Salez

We consider two independent random variables with the given tail asymptotic (e.g. power or exponential). We find tail asymptotic for their sum and product. This is done by some cumbersome but purely technical computations and requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Andrey Sarantsev

Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Alexander H. O. Wada , Thomas Vojta

We study the small deviation problem $\log\mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]}|X_t|\leq\varepsilon)$, as $\varepsilon\to0$, for general L\'{e}vy processes $X$. The techniques enable us to determine the asymptotic rate for general real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Frank Aurzada , Steffen Dereich

Let G=\{G(x),x\in R^1\} be a mean zero Gaussian processes with stationary increments and set \si ^2(|x-y|)= E(G(x)-G(y))^2. Let f be a symmetric function with Ef(\eta)<\ff, where \eta=N(0,1). When \si^2(s) is concave or when \si^2(s)=s^r$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen