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The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

This study uses in-situ measurements collected during the FireFlux field experiment to evaluate and improve the performance of coupled atmosphere-fire model WRF-Sfire. The simulation by WRF-Sfire of the experimental burn shows that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-02-08 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Craig B. Clements , Steven Krueger

A wildfire model is formulated based on balance equations for energy and fuel, where the fuel loss due to combustion corresponds to the fuel reaction rate. The resulting coupled partial differential equations have coefficients that can be…

Level set methods are versatile and extensible techniques for general front tracking problems, including the practically important problem of predicting the advance of a firefront across expanses of surface vegetation. Given a rule,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-10-16 V. Mallet , D. E. Keyes , F. E. Fendell

Fuel ignition potential is one of the primary drivers influencing the extent of damage in wildland and wildland-urban interface fires. Determining fire and ember exposure of fuels that vary spatially and temporally will help to recognize…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Saurabh Saxena , Ritambhara Dubey , Neda Yaghoobian

In this study, we describe how WRF-Sfire is coupled with WRF-Chem to construct WRFSC, an integrated forecast system for wildfire and smoke prediction. The integrated forecast system has the advantage of not requiring a simple plume-rise…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-05-05 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Kara Yedinak , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Brian Lamb

Accurate assessment of fuel conditions is a prerequisite for fire ignition and behavior prediction, and risk management. The method proposed herein leverages diverse data sources including Landsat-8 optical imagery, Sentinel-1 (C-band)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Riyaaz Uddien Shaik , Mohamad Alipour , Eric Rowell , Bharathan Balaji , Adam Watts , Ertugrul Taciroglu

The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires underscore the need for accurate predictive models to enhance wildfire management. Traditional models, such as Rothermel and FARSITE, provide foundational insights but often oversimplify…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

Wildfires are increasing in intensity and severity at an alarming rate. Recent advances in AI and publicly available satellite data enable monitoring critical wildfire risk factors globally, at high resolution and low latency. Live Fuel…

Observational data collected during experiments, such as the planned Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE), are critical for progressing and transitioning coupled fire-atmosphere models like WRF-SFIRE and WRF-SFIRE-CHEM into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-07-31 Adam K. Kochanski , Aimé Fournier , Jan Mandel

Currently available satellite active fire detection products from the VIIRS and MODIS instruments on polar-orbiting satellites produce detection squares in arbitrary locations. There is no global fire/no fire map, no detection under cloud…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Jan Mandel , Adam K. Kochanski , Martin Vejmelka , Jonathan D. Beezley

Fuel-flexible, low-carbon combustion systems need to accommodate methane/hydrogen mixtures with air and exhaust-gas dilution. To develop these, we require accurate and efficient correlations for laminar flame speed (LFS). In this work, we…

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Fuel moisture content (FMC) is a key predictor for wildfire rate of spread (ROS). Machine learning models of FMC are being used more in recent years, augmenting or replacing traditional physics-based approaches. Wildfire rate of spread…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Jonathon Hirschi

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

We introduce several useful utilities in development for the creation and analysis of real wildland fire simulations using WRF and SFIRE. These utilities exist as standalone programs and scripts as well as extensions to other well known…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-02-08 Jonathan Beezley , Mavin Martin , Paul Rosen , Jan Mandel , Adam K. Kochanski

Increases in wildfire activity and the resulting impacts have prompted the development of high-resolution wildfire behavior models for forecasting fire spread. Recent progress in using satellites to detect fire locations further provides…

Intense wildfires impact nature, humans, and society, causing catastrophic damage to property and the ecosystem, as well as the loss of life. Forecasting wildfire front propagation is essential in order to support fire fighting efforts and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

With fires becoming increasingly frequent and severe across the globe in recent years, understanding climate change's role in fire behavior is critical for quantifying current and future fire risk. However, global climate models typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Tristan Ballard , Gopal Erinjippurath