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This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

Linear regression is arguably the most widely used statistical method. With fixed regressors and correlated errors, the conventional wisdom is to modify the variance-covariance estimator to accommodate the known correlation structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Zifeng Zhang , Peng Ding , Wen Zhou , Haonan Wang

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

The application of machine learning to physics problems is widely found in the scientific literature. Both regression and classification problems are addressed by a large array of techniques that involve learning algorithms. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Umberto Michelucci , Francesca Venturini

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

We study estimation and prediction in linear models where the response and the regressor variable both take values in some Hilbert space. Our main objective is to obtain consistency of a principal components based estimator for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-17 Siegfried Hörmann , Łukasz Kidziński

This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Shaoyang Li , Maozai Tian

The linear regression model is widely used in the biomedical and social sciences as well as in policy and business research to adjust for covariates and estimate the average effects of treatments. Behind every causal inference endeavor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Noah Greifer , Jose R. Zubizarreta

This chapter opens with a review of classic tools for regression, a subset of machine learning that seeks to find relationships between variables. With the advent of scientific machine learning this field has moved from a purely data-driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Miguel A. Mendez

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical approach pursued for functional models in earlier attempts is reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces. Within the framework of classical error…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-03-08 R. Caimmi

In complex survey data, each sampled observation has assigned a sampling weight, indicating the number of units that it represents in the population. Whether sampling weights should or not be considered in the estimation process of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Amaia Iparragirre , Irantzu Barrio , Jorge Aramendi , Inmaculada Arostegui

We consider parameter inference for linear quantile regression with non-stationary predictors and errors, where the regression parameters are subject to inequality constraints. We show that the constrained quantile coefficient estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-08 Yuan Sun , Zhou Zhou

Many scientific and engineering applications require fitting regression models that are nonlinear in the parameters. Advances in computer hardware and software in recent decades have made it easier to fit such models. Relative to fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Peng Liu , William Q. Meeker

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

Many core concepts in political science are latent and therefore can only be measured with error. Measurement error in a predictor attenuates slope coefficient estimates in regression, biasing them toward zero. We show that widely used…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Connor T. Jerzak , Stephen A. Jessee

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

Given data $y$ and $k$ covariates $x$ one problem in linear regression is to decide which in any of the covariates to include when regressing $y$ on the $x$. If $k$ is small it is possible to evaluate each subset of the $x$. If however $k$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-17 Patrick Laurie Davies

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

The last decades saw dramatic progress in brain research. These advances were often buttressed by probing single variables to make circumscribed discoveries, typically through null hypothesis significance testing. New ways for generating…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-26 Danilo Bzdok , John Ioannidis