Related papers: On the approximate maximum likelihood estimation f…
The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…
For many diseases, logistic and other constraints often render large incidence studies difficult, if not impossible, to carry out. This becomes a drawback, particularly when a new incidence study is needed each time the disease incidence…
The stationary distribution of allele frequencies under a variety of Wright--Fisher $k$-allele models with selection and parent independent mutation is well studied. However, the statistical properties of maximum likelihood estimates of…
Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…
This paper rigorously establishes that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic regression models with Gaussian covariates undergoes a sharp `phase transition'. We introduce an explicit boundary…
Profile likelihood intervals of large quantiles in Extreme Value distributions provide a good way to estimate these parameters of interest since they take into account the asymmetry of the likelihood surface in the case of small and…
Modeling of longitudinal data often requires diffusion models that incorporate overall time-dependent, nonlinear dynamics of multiple components and provide sufficient flexibility for subject-specific modeling. This complexity challenges…
Interval-censored multi-state data arise in many studies of chronic diseases, where the health status of a subject can be characterized by a finite number of disease states and the transition between any two states is only known to occur…
Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…
We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…
To ensure high quality outputs, it is important to quantify the epistemic uncertainty of diffusion models. Existing methods are often unreliable because they mix epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We introduce a method based on Fisher…
We consider regression models involving multilayer perceptrons (MLP) with one hidden layer and a Gaussian noise. The data are assumed to be generated by a true MLP model and the estimation of the parameters of the MLP is done by maximizing…
In nonlinear deterministic parameter estimation, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is unable to attain the Cramer-Rao lower bound at low and medium signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) due the threshold and ambiguity phenomena. In order to…
Maximum likelihood estimation is a popular method in statistical inference. As a way of assessing the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), the calculation of the covariance matrix of the MLE is of great interest in practice.…
Diffusion models have exhibited excellent performance in various domains. The probability flow ordinary differential equation (ODE) of diffusion models (i.e., diffusion ODEs) is a particular case of continuous normalizing flows (CNFs),…
Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…
The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…
Threshold and ambiguity phenomena are studied in Part 1 of this work where approximations for the mean-squared-error (MSE) of the maximum likelihood estimator are proposed using the method of interval estimation (MIE), and where approximate…
While the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator under regularity conditions is long established, this paper derives explicit bounds for the bounded Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood…
We prove the local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) property for a family of probability measures defined by parametrized diffusion processes with nonsynchronous observations. We assume that observation times of processes are independent…