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Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Prediction and interpolation for long-range video data involves the complex task of modeling motion trajectories for each visible object, occlusions and dis-occlusions, as well as appearance changes due to viewpoint and lighting. Optical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Kevin J. Shih , Aysegul Dundar , Animesh Garg , Robert Pottorf , Andrew Tao , Bryan Catanzaro

We analyze how an observer synchronizes to the internal state of a finite-state information source, using the epsilon-machine causal representation. Here, we treat the case of exact synchronization, when it is possible for the observer to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-19 Nicholas F. Travers , James P. Crutchfield

Chronic disease progression models are governed by three main parameters: sensitivity, preclinical intensity, and sojourn time. The estimation of these parameters helps in optimizing screening programs and examine the improvement in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-22 Ayman Hijazy , András Zempléni

The simplest way to obtain continuous interpolation between two points in high dimensional space is to draw a line between them. While previous works focused on the general connectivity between model parameters, we explored linear…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Mark Rofin , Nikita Balagansky , Daniil Gavrilov

Screening before model building is a reasonable strategy to reduce the dimension of regression problems. Sure independence screening is an efficient approach to this purpose. It applies the slope estimate of a simple linear regression as a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-21 Sheng-Mao Chang

While most strong-gravitational-lensing systems may be roughly modelled by a single massive object between the source and the observer, in the details all the structures near the light path contribute to the observed images. These…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-01 Pierre Fleury , Julien Larena , Jean-Philippe Uzan

We consider the problem of detecting an odd process among a group of Poisson point processes, all having the same rate except the odd process. The actual rates of the odd and non-odd processes are unknown to the decision maker. We consider…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Nidhin Koshy Vaidhiyan , Rajesh Sundaresan

Symmetry is one of the most central concepts in physics, and it is no surprise that it has also been widely adopted as an inductive bias for machine-learning models applied to the physical sciences. This is especially true for models…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-12-23 Marcel F. Langer , Sergey N. Pozdnyakov , Michele Ceriotti

We develop a formal framework for the behavioral comparison of linear systems across different time domains. We accomplish this by introducing the notion of system interpolation, which determines whether the input-state trajectories of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Armin Pirastehzad , Bart Besselink

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Plasma lensing events can have significant observational consequences, including flux density modulations and perturbations in pulse arrival times. In this paper we develop and apply a formalism that extends geometrical optics to describe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-30 Gianfranco Grillo , James Cordes

Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

Let a continuous random process $X$ defined on $[0,1]$ be $(m+\beta)$-smooth, $0\le m, 0<\beta\le 1$, in quadratic mean for all $t>0$ and have an isolated singularity point at $t=0$. In addition, let $X$ be locally like a $m$-fold…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Let $(B(t))_{t\in \Theta}$ with $\Theta={\mathbb Z}$ or $\Theta={\mathbb R}$ be a wide sense stationary process with discrete or continuous time. The classical linear prediction problem consists of finding an element in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Ildar Ibragimov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Mikhail Lifshits

This paper proposes a new feature screening method for the multi-response ultrahigh dimensional linear model by empirical likelihood. Through a multivariate moment condition, the empirical likelihood induced ranking statistics can exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jun Lu , Qinqin Hu , Lu Lin

Discrete-time models of non-uniformly sampled nonlinear systems under zero-order hold relate the next state sample to the current state sample, (constant) input value, and sampling interval. The exact discrete-time model, that is, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-30 Alexis J. Vallarella , Hernan Haimovich

In implicit models, one often interpolates between sampled points in latent space. As we show in this paper, care needs to be taken to match-up the distributional assumptions on code vectors with the geometry of the interpolating paths.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-05 Yannic Kilcher , Aurelien Lucchi , Thomas Hofmann