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Related papers: Are megaquakes clustered?

200 papers

It was conjectured for a long time that the tectonic plates are in a self-organized state of criticality and that the Gutenberg-Richter law is a manifestation of that. It was recently shown that for a system near criticality, the inequality…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-12 Sudip Sarkar , Soumyajyoti Biswas

By analyzing a southern California earthquake catalog, Davidsen and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 048501 (2005)] claim to have found evidence contradicting the theory of aftershock zone scaling in favor of scale-free statistics. We present…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. J. Werner , D. Sornette

How stellar clusters disrupt, and over what timescales, is intimately linked with how they form. Here, we review the theory and observations of cluster disruption, both the suggested initial rapid dissolution phase (infant mortality) and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-07-13 Nate Bastian

Formation theories for central dominant galaxies in clusters require them to be located at the minimum of the cluster gravitational potential. However, 32\% (8 out of 25) of the clusters with more than 50 measured redshifts have central…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-22 Christina M. Bird

Catastrophes of all kinds can be roughly defined as short duration-large amplitude events following and followed by long periods of "ripening". Major earthquakes surely belong to the class of 'catastrophic' events. Because of the space-time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Randall D. Peters , Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

Using the ETAS branching model of triggered seismicity, we apply the formalism of generating probability functions to calculate exactly the average difference between the magnitude of a mainshock and the magnitude of its largest aftershock…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Many systems in nature are conjectured to exist at a critical point, including the brain and earthquake faults. The primary reason for this conjecture is that the distribution of clusters (avalanches of firing neurons in the brain or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-22 W. Klein , Harvey Gould , Sakib Matin

Most point process models for earthquakes currently in the literature assume the magnitude distribution is i.i.d. potentially hindering the ability of the model to describe the main features of data sets containing multiple earthquake…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

The distribution of the magnitudes of seismic events is generally assumed to be independent on past seismicity. However, by considering events in causal relation, for example mother-daughter, it seems natural to assume that the magnitude of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-20 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

The physics of earthquake triggering together with simple assumptions of self-similarity impose the existence of a minimum magnitude m0 below which earthquakes do not trigger other earthquakes. Noting that the magnitude md of completeness…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Sornette , M. J. Werner

We review the present status of our research and understanding regarding the dynamics and the statistical properties of earthquakes, mainly from a statistical physical viewpoint. Emphasis is put both on the physics of friction and fracture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-22 Hikaru Kawamura , Takahiro Hatano , Naoyuki Kato , Soumyajyoti Biswas , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Earthquakes are commonly estimated using physical seismic stations, however, due to the installation requirements and costs of these stations, global coverage quickly becomes impractical. An efficient and lower-cost alternative is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Isaac Corley , Paolo Garza , Peyman Najafirad

We discuss various statistical distributions of earthquake numbers. Previously we derived several discrete distributions to describe earthquake numbers for the branching model of earthquake occurrence: these distributions are the Poisson,…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-11-24 Yan Y. Kagan

The acoustic emission activity associated with recent rock fracture experiments under different conditions has indicated that some features of event-event triggering are independent of the details of the experiment and the materials used…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-01-17 Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jeremy Wing Ching Wong , Alice-Agnes Gabriel , Wenyuan Fan

The time dependence of the parameter of the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) magnitude distribution is computed for foreshock sequences of earthquakes, correlated with the main shock, by using the geometric-growth model of earthquake focus, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-03-06 B. F. Apostol , L. C. Cune

We have explored the temporal variability of the seismicity at global scale over the last 124 years, as well as its potential drivers. To achieve this, we constructed and analyzed an averaged global seismicity curve for earthquakes of…

We study the distributions of earthquake numbers in two global catalogs: Global Centroid-Moment Tensor and Preliminary Determinations of Epicenters. These distributions are required to develop the number test for forecasts of future seismic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-11 Yan Y. Kagan