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We explore the behavior and establish new properties of the cumulative-sum process (CUSUM) and its running maximum. The study includes precise expressions for CUSUM's moment generating function and moments, fast recursive computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Michael Baron , Sergey V. Malov

The problem of detecting variance breaks in the case of smooth time-varying variance structure is studied. It is highlighted that the tests based on (piecewise) constant specification of the variance are not able to distinguish between…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Ben Hajria Raja , Khardani Salah , Raïssi Hamdi

In this letter, a novel method for change detection is proposed using neighborhood structure correlation. Because structure features are insensitive to the intensity differences between bi-temporal images, we perform the correlation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Mengmeng Wang , Zhiqiang Han , Peizhen Yang , Bai Zhu , Ming Hao , Jianwei Fan , Yuanxin Ye

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

The statistical dependencies which independent component analysis (ICA) cannot remove often provide rich information beyond the linear independent components. It would thus be very useful to estimate the dependency structure from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-28 Hiroaki Sasaki , Michael U. Gutmann , Hayaru Shouno , Aapo Hyvärinen

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

In this work, we aim to provide a new and efficient recursive detection method for temporarily monitored signals. Motivated by the case of the propagation of an event over a field of sensors, we assumed that the change in the statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 V. Watson , F. Septier , P. Armand , C. Duchenne

We present an end-to-end differentiable neural network architecture to perform anomaly detection in multivariate time series by incorporating a Sequential Probability Ratio Test on the prediction residual. The architecture is a cascade of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 L. Zancato , A. Achille , G. Paolini , A. Chiuso , S. Soatto

In this study, we consider the experimentally-obtained, periodically-forced response of a nonlinear structure in the presence of process noise. Control-based continuation is used to measure both the stable and unstable periodic solutions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

Metamorphic testing is a testing method for problems without test oracles. Integration testing allows for detecting errors in complex systems that may not be found during the testing of their components. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Sofia F. Yakusheva , Anton S. Khritankov

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

This paper investigates Gaussian copula mixture models (GCMM), which are an extension of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) that incorporate copula concepts. The paper presents the mathematical definition of GCMM and explores the properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Ke Wan , Alain Kornhauser

Investigating the relation between the structure and behavior of complex biological networks often involves posing the following two questions: Is a hypothesized structure of a regulatory network consistent with the observed behavior? And…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-20 Grégory Batt , Michel Page , Irene Cantone , Gregor Goessler , Pedro T. Monteiro , Hidde De Jong

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

A Multi-Phase Transport (AMPT) model is used to study the efficacy of shape-engineered events to delineate the degree of coupling between the linear and nonlinear contributions to the higher-order flow harmonics $v_{4}$ and $v_{5}$. The…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2020-12-18 Niseem Magdy , Olga Evdokimov , Roy A. Lacey

Correlation remains to be one of the most widely used statistical tools for assessing the strength of relationships between data series. This paper presents a novel compositional correlation method for detecting linear and nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Fatih Dikbas

In this paper, we develop two families of sequential monitoring procedure to (timely) detect changes in a GARCH(1,1) model. Whilst our methodologies can be applied for the general analysis of changepoints in GARCH(1,1) sequences, they are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-30 Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani , Shixuan Wang

This paper introduces a nonparametric copula-based index for detecting the strength and monotonicity structure of linear and nonlinear statistical dependence between pairs of random variables or stochastic signals. Our index, termed Copula…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili

Simultaneously monitoring changes in both the mean and variance is a fundamental problem in Statistical Process Control, and numerous methods have been developed to address it. However, many existing approaches face notable limitations:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Gokul Parakulum , Jun Li

We propose a family of weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the WLS residuals for the online detection of changepoints in a Random Coefficient Autoregressive model, using both the standard CUSUM and the Page-CUSUM process. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani
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