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We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

AI and data-driven models have large potential for data assimilation applications by creating fast and accurate forecasts. Their tendency to produce spurious inaccurate, nonphysical results -- hallucination -- however, raises a serious…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Andrey A. Popov

Evidence synthesis models combine multiple data sources to estimate latent quantities of interest, enabling reliable inference on parameters that are difficult to measure directly. However, shared parameters across data sources can induce…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Fuming Yang , David J. Nott , Anne M. Presanis

We focus on data fusion, i.e., the problem of unifying conflicting data from data sources into a single representation by estimating the source accuracies. We propose SLiMFast, a framework that expresses data fusion as a statistical…

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

While causal models are becoming one of the mainstays of machine learning, the problem of uncertainty quantification in causal inference remains challenging. In this paper, we study the causal data fusion problem, where datasets pertaining…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Siu Lun Chau , Jean-François Ton , Javier González , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

Many analyses require linking records from two databases comprising overlapping sets of individuals. In the absence of unique identifiers, the linkage procedure often involves matching on a set of categorical variables, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-12 Nicole M. Dalzell , Jerome P. Reiter

Despite the recent advances in abstractive summarization systems, it is still difficult to determine whether a generated summary is factual consistent with the source text. To this end, the latest approach is to train a factual consistency…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Hwanhee Lee , Kang Min Yoo , Joonsuk Park , Hwaran Lee , Kyomin Jung

The amount of useful information available on the Web has been growing at a dramatic pace in recent years and people rely more and more on the Web to fulfill their information needs. In this paper, we study truthfulness of Deep Web data in…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Xian Li , Xin Luna Dong , Kenneth Lyons , Weiyi Meng , Divesh Srivastava

There has recently been considerable interest in addressing the problem of unifying distributed statistical analyses into a single coherent inference. This problem naturally arises in a number of situations, including in big-data settings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Hongsheng Dai , Murray Pollock , Gareth Roberts

Traditionally, the MaxEnt workshops start by a tutorial day. This paper summarizes my talk during 2001'th workshop at John Hopkins University. The main idea in this talk is to show how the Bayesian inference can naturally give us all the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

Machine learning methods for computational imaging require uncertainty estimation to be reliable in real settings. While Bayesian models offer a computationally tractable way of recovering uncertainty, they need large data volumes to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Francesco Tonolini , Jack Radford , Alex Turpin , Daniele Faccio , Roderick Murray-Smith

In this paper we propose a bayesian approach for near-duplicate image detection, and investigate how different probabilistic models affect the performance obtained. The task of identifying an image whose metadata are missing is often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Lucas Moutinho Bueno , Eduardo Valle , Ricardo da Silva Torres

The statistical challenges in using big data for making valid statistical inference in the finite population have been well documented in literature. These challenges are due primarily to statistical bias arising from under-coverage in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Jae-kwang Kim , Siu-Ming Tam

The problem of source separation is by its very nature an inductive inference problem. There is not enough information to deduce the solution, so one must use any available information to infer the most probable solution. We demonstrate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kevin H. Knuth

Linked Data have emerged as a successful publication format and one of its main strengths is its fitness for integration of data from multiple sources. This gives them a great potential both for semantic applications and the enterprise…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-10-30 Jan Michelfeit , Tomáš Knap , Martin Nečaský

There are many issues that can cause problems when attempting to infer model parameters from data. Data and models are both imperfect, and as such there are multiple scenarios in which standard methods of inference will lead to misleading…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-01 Simon L. Cotter