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We present an algorithm for arc reversal in Bayesian networks with tree-structured conditional probability tables, and consider some of its advantages, especially for the simulation of dynamic probabilistic networks. In particular, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Adrian Y. W. Cheuk , Craig Boutilier

Vector autoregression model is ubiquitous in classical time series data analysis. With the rapid advance of social network sites, time series data over latent graph is becoming increasingly popular. In this paper, we develop a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-12 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Guanyu Hu

Driven by the critical needs of biomanufacturing 4.0, we introduce a probabilistic knowledge graph hybrid model characterizing the risk- and science-based understanding of bioprocess mechanisms. It can faithfully capture the important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Wei Xie , Keqi Wang , Hua Zheng , Ben Feng

Generating graph structures is a challenging problem due to the diverse representations and complex dependencies among nodes. In this paper, we introduce Graph Variational Recurrent Neural Network (GraphVRNN), a probabilistic autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Shih-Yang Su , Hossein Hajimirsadeghi , Greg Mori

Directed graphs occur throughout statistical modeling of networks, and exchangeability is a natural assumption when the ordering of vertices does not matter. There is a deep structural theory for exchangeable undirected graphs, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 Diana Cai , Nathanael Ackerman , Cameron Freer

A Bayesian nonparametric method for unimodal densities on the real line is provided by considering a class of species sampling mixture models containing random densities that are unimodal and not necessarily symmetric. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Man-Wai Ho

Although many algorithms have been designed to construct Bayesian network structures using different approaches and principles, they all employ only two methods: those based on independence criteria, and those based on a scoring function…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 S. Acid , L. M. de Campos

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Superbubbles are acyclic induced subgraphs of a digraph with single entrance and exit that naturally arise in the context of genome assembly and the analysis of genome alignments in computational biology. These structures can be computed in…

Bayesian networks (BNs) are widely used graphical models usable to draw statistical inference about Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We presented here Graph_sampler a fast free C language software for structural inference on BNs.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-05 Sagnik Datta , Ghislaine Gayraud , Eric Leclerc , Frederic Y. Bois

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

Motivated by the problem of designing inference-friendly Bayesian nonparametric models in probabilistic programming languages, we introduce a general class of partially exchangeable random arrays which generalizes the notion of hierarchical…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Paul Jung , Jiho Lee , Sam Staton , Hongseok Yang

Directed acyclic graphs have been used fruitfully to represent causal strucures (Pearl 1988). However, in the social sciences and elsewhere models are often used which correspond both causally and statistically to directed graphs with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-24 Thomas S. Richardson

Chain graphs give a natural unifying point of view on Markov and Bayesian networks and enlarge the potential of graphical models for description of conditional independence structures. In the paper a direct graphical separation criterion…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Milan Studeny

Posterior sampling is a task of central importance in Bayesian inference. For many applications in Bayesian meta-analysis and Bayesian transfer learning, the prior distribution is unknown and needs to be estimated from samples. In practice,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-06 Chenyang Zhong , Shouxuan Ji , Tian Zheng

This paper considers the problem of defining distributions over graphical structures. We propose an extension of the hyper Markov properties of Dawid and Lauritzen [Ann. Statist. 21 (1993) 1272-1317], which we term structural Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Simon Byrne , A. Philip Dawid

In complex multivariate systems, interactions among variables are defined by dependency structures, often encoded as directed acyclic graphs ($\text{DAGs}$). However, dependency structures can vary across subjects, and ignoring this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Honglin Du , Muxuan Liang , Xiang Zhong

It has become increasingly easy nowadays to collect approximate posterior samples via fast algorithms such as variational Bayes, but concerns exist about the estimation accuracy. It is tempting to build solutions that exploit approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-17 Leo L. Duan , Anirban Bhattacharya

A Random Graph is a random object which take its values in the space of graphs. We take advantage of the expressibility of graphs in order to model the uncertainty about the existence of causal relationships within a given set of variables.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Mauricio Gonzalez-Soto , Ivan R. Feliciano-Avelino , L. Enrique Sucar , Hugo J. Escalante Balderas
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