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In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-28 Peng Wu , Marcello Rambaldi , Jean-François Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry

We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We use random walks to simulate the fluid limit of two coupled diffusive limit order books to model correlation emergence. The model implements the arrival, cancellation and diffusion of orders coupled by a pairs trader profiting from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Dominic Bauer , Derick Diana , Tim Gebbie

We present a simple order book mechanism that regulates an artificial financial market with self-organized criticality dynamics and fat tails of returns distribution. The model shows the role played by individual imitation in determining…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-29 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-16 Arnab Ganguly , Derya Altintan , Heinz Koeppl

Probabilistic intraday electricity price forecasting is becoming increasingly important for short-term power-system operation. With increasing renewable generation, demand-side flexibility, and storage assets, market participants need to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Yuchen Tao , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Jochen Stiasny , Derek W. Bunn , Qingsong Wen , Hongye Guo , Jochen L. Cremer

Intra-day price variations in financial markets are driven by the sequence of orders, called the order flow, that is submitted at high frequency by traders. This paper introduces a novel application of the Sequence Generative Adversarial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Maglaras, Moallemi, and Zheng (2021) have introduced a flexible queueing model for fragmented limit-order markets, whose fluid limit remains remarkably tractable. In the present study we prove that, in the limit of small and frequent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Eyal Neuman , Yonatan Shadmi

We show that the statistics of spreads in real order books is characterized by an intrinsic asymmetry due to discreteness effects for even or odd values of the spread. An analysis of data from the NYSE order book points out that traders'…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-29 A. Zaccaria , M. Cristelli , V. Alfi , F. Ciulla , L. Pietronero

We study the price impact of order book events - limit orders, market orders and cancelations - using the NYSE TAQ data for 50 U.S. stocks. We show that, over short time intervals, price changes are mainly driven by the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Rama Cont , Arseniy Kukanov , Sasha Stoikov

As a major part of the daily operation in an enterprise, purchasing frequency is of constant change. Recent approaches on the human dynamics can provide some new insights into the economic behaviors of companies in the supply chain. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Lei Gao , Jin-Li Guo , Chao Fan , Xue-Jiao Liu

We consider a dynamic market model of liquidity where unmatched buy and sell limit orders are stored in order books. The resulting net demand surface constitutes the sole input to the model. We prove that generically there is no arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Sergey Lototsky , Henry Schellhorn , Ran Zhao

We develop a behavioral model for liquidity and volatility based on empirical regularities in trading order flow in the London Stock Exchange. This can be viewed as a very simple agent based model in which all components of the model are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

We propose a general non-linear order book model that is built from the individual behaviours of the agents. Our framework encompasses Markovian and Hawkes based models. Under mild assumptions, we prove original results on the ergodicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Othmane Mounjid , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Pamela Saliba

The tatonnement process in high frequency order driven markets is modeled as a search by buyers for sellers and vice-versa. We propose a total order book model, comprising limit orders and latent orders, in the absence of a market maker. A…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Sudhanshu Pani

In this work, we present a continuous-time large-population game for modeling market microstructure betweentwo consecutive trades. The proposed modeling framework is inspired by our previous work [23]. In this framework, the Limit Order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-21 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

Empirical data reveals that the liquidity flow into the order book (depositions, cancellations andmarket orders) is influenced by past price changes. In particular, we show that liquidity tends todecrease with the amplitude of past…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-24 Antoine Fosset , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

We model the behavior of three agent classes acting dynamically in a limit order book of a financial asset. Namely, we consider market makers (MM), high-frequency trading (HFT) firms, and institutional brokers (IB). Given a prior dynamic of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-12 Nicolas Baradel , Bruno Bouchard , David Evangelista , Othmane Mounjid

We consider a limit order book, where buyers and sellers register to trade a security at specific prices. The largest price buyers on the book are willing to offer is called the market bid price, and the smallest price sellers on the book…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-28 Xin Liu , Qi Gong , Vidyadhar G. Kulkarni

We propose a dynamical theory of market liquidity that predicts that the average supply/demand profile is V-shaped and {\it vanishes} around the current price. This result is generic, and only relies on mild assumptions about the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-02 Bence Toth , Yves Lemperiere , Cyril Deremble , Joachim de Lataillade , Julien Kockelkoren , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
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