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Aggregated predictors are obtained by making a set of basic predictors vote according to some weights, that is, to some probability distribution. Randomized predictors are obtained by sampling in a set of basic predictors, according to some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Pierre Alquier

Bayesian classification labels observations based on given prior information, namely class-a priori and class-conditional probabilities. Bayes' risk is the minimum expected classification cost that is achieved by the Bayes' test, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Frank Nielsen

We consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. Unlike binary classification, in the multiclass setup one can think about an entire spectrum of possible notions of sparsity associated with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Tomer Levy , Felix Abramovich

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

We discuss necessary conditions for a PAC-Bayes bound to provide a meaningful generalisation guarantee. Our analysis reveals that the optimal generalisation guarantee depends solely on the distribution of the risk induced by the prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Eugenio Clerico , Roman Moscoviz , Benjamin Guedj

This tutorial gives a concise overview of existing PAC-Bayesian theory focusing on three generalization bounds. The first is an Occam bound which handles rules with finite precision parameters and which states that generalization loss is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-09 David McAllester

We introduce a new framework for studying meta-learning methods using PAC-Bayesian theory. Its main advantage over previous work is that it allows for more flexibility in how the transfer of knowledge between tasks is realized. For previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Hossein Zakerinia , Amin Behjati , Christoph H. Lampert

We present a novel analysis of the expected risk of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification. The analysis takes correlation of predictions by ensemble members into account and provides a bound that is amenable to efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Andrés R. Masegosa , Stephan S. Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

We propose an extensive analysis of the behavior of majority votes in binary classification. In particular, we introduce a risk bound for majority votes, called the C-bound, that takes into account the average quality of the voters and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-30 Pascal Germain , Alexandre Lacasse , François Laviolette , Mario Marchand , Jean-Francis Roy

When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

We present here a PAC-Bayesian point of view on adaptive supervised classification. Using convex analysis, we show how to get local measures of the complexity of the classification model involving the relative entropy of posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Olivier Catoni

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

Meta-learning can successfully acquire useful inductive biases from data. Yet, its generalization properties to unseen learning tasks are poorly understood. Particularly if the number of meta-training tasks is small, this raises concerns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Jonas Rothfuss , Vincent Fortuin , Martin Josifoski , Andreas Krause

We propose data-dependent uniform generalization bounds by approaching the problem from a PAC-Bayesian perspective. We first apply the PAC-Bayesian framework on "random sets" in a rigorous way, where the training algorithm is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Benjamin Dupuis , Paul Viallard , George Deligiannidis , Umut Simsekli

PAC-Bayesian learning bounds are of the utmost interest to the learning community. Their role is to connect the generalization ability of an aggregation distribution $\rho$ to its empirical risk and to its Kullback-Leibler divergence with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-24 Pierre Alquier , Benjamin Guedj

Modern neural networks are highly overparameterized, with capacity to substantially overfit to training data. Nevertheless, these networks often generalize well in practice. It has also been observed that trained networks can often be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Wenda Zhou , Victor Veitch , Morgane Austern , Ryan P. Adams , Peter Orbanz

A problem of bounding the generalization error of a classifier f in H, where H is a "base" class of functions (classifiers), is considered. This problem frequently occurs in computer learning, where efficient algorithms of combining simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko , Fernando Lozano

We derive generic information-theoretic and PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds involving an arbitrary convex comparator function, which measures the discrepancy between the training and population loss. The bounds hold under the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Fredrik Hellström , Benjamin Guedj

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon
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