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In this paper we derive sharp lower and upper bounds for the covariance of two bounded random variables when knowledge about their expected values, variances or both is available. When only the expected values are known, our result can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Ola Hössjer , Arvid Sjölander

Suppose that the (normalised) partial sum of a stationary sequence converges to a standard normal random variable. Given sufficiently moments, when do we have a rate of convergence of $n^{-1/2}$ in the uniform metric, in other words, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Moritz Jirak

We study Betti numbers of sequences of Riemannian manifolds which Benjamini-Schramm converge to their universal covers. Using the Price inequalities we developed elsewhere, we derive two distinct convergence results. First, under a negative…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Luca F. Di Cerbo , Mark Stern

We study the precise large deviation probabilities for the sizes of intermediate level sets in branching Brownian motion (BBM). Our conclusions improve a result of A\"{i}dekon, Hu and Shi in [J. Math. Sci. \textbf{238}(2019)]. Additionally,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xinxin Chen , Heng Ma

We derive both Azuma-Hoeffding and Burkholder-type inequalities for partial sums over a rectangular grid of dimension $d$ of a random field satisfying a weak dependency assumption of projective type: the difference between the expectation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Gilles Blanchard , Alexandra Carpentier , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Li and Hu recently established variance-type O(1/n) bounds for the sample mean of independent random vectors under sublinear expectations. We extend their results to the exponential concentration regime. For bounded, independent R^d-valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Nahom Seyoum

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the continuous time interpolation of discrete time recursive stochastic processes. The methods of proof are somewhat different from the corresponding large deviation result, and in particular the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Paul Dupuis , Dane Johnson

We establish both uniform and nonuniform error bounds of the Berry-Esseen type in normal approximation under local dependence. These results are of an order close to the best possible if not best possible. They are more general or sharper…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Louis H. Y. Chen , Qi-Man Shao

We prove a weak converse estimate for the simultaneous approximation by several forms of the Bernstein polynomials with integer coefficients. It is stated in terms of moduli of smoothness. In particular, it yields a big $O$-characterization…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Borislav R. Draganov

In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-30 P. J. Bickel , B. J. K. Kleijn

We consider the three dimensional array $\mathcal{A} = \{a_{i,j,k}\}_{1\le i,j,k \le n}$, with $a_{i,j,k} \in [0,1]$, and the two random statistics $T_{1}:= \sum_{i=1}^n \sum_{j=1}^n a_{i,j,\sigma(i)}$ and $T_{2}:= \sum_{i=1}^{n}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Debapratim Banerjee , Matteo Sordello

A generalization of the Bernstein matrix concentration inequality to random tensors of general order is proposed. This generalization is based on the use of Einstein products between tensors, from which a strong link can be established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Z. Luo , L. Qi , Ph. L. Toint

We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Bero Roos

Moderate deviation principle is achieved by the weak convergence approach for a stochastic Schr\"odinger type equation with linear drift term and noise driven by a $Q$-Wiener process. The central limit theorem is also shown for the equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Parisa Fatheddin , Hannelore Lisei

Stein's method is applied to obtain a general Cramer-type moderate deviation result for dependent random variables whose dependence is defined in terms of a Stein identity. A corollary for zero-bias coupling is deduced. The result is also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

For a sequence $\{X_{n}, \, n \geqslant 1 \}$ of nonnegative random variables where $\max[\min(X_{n} - s,t),0]$, $t > s \geqslant 0$, satisfy a moment inequality, sufficient conditions are given under which $\sum_{k=1}^n (X_k - \mathbb{E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 João Lita da Silva

We show that the probability that a multilinear polynomial $f$ of independent random variables exceeds its mean by $\lambda$ is at most $e^{-\lambda^2 / (R^q Var(f))}$ for sufficiently small $\lambda$, where $R$ is an absolute constant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Warren Schudy , Maxim Sviridenko

We provide an inequality which is a useful tool in studying both large deviation results and limit theorems for sums of random fields with "negligible" small values. In particular, the inequality covers cases of stable limits for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Adam Jakubowski , Jan Rosiński

We present Hoeffding-type and Bernstein-type inequalities for right-censored data. The inequalities bound the difference between an inverse of the probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) estimator and its expectation. We first discuss the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Yair Goldberg