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Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

Simultaneous predictive densities for independent Poisson observables are investigated. The observed data and the target variables to be predicted are independently distributed according to different Poisson distributions parametrized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

The Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (DPMM) is a Bayesian non-parametric approach widely used for density estimation and clustering. In this manuscript, we study the choice of prior for the variance or precision matrix when Gaussian kernels…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Wei Jing , Michail Papathomas , Silvia Liverani

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie

Modelling the first-order intensity function is one of the main aims in point process theory, and it has been approached so far from different perspectives. One appealing model describes the intensity as a function of a spatial covariate.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

We introduce a hull operator on Poisson point processes, the easiest example being the convex hull of the support of a point process in Euclidean space. Assuming that the intensity measure of the process is known on the set generated by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Günter Last , Ilya Molchanov

Completely automatic and adaptive non-parametric inference is a pie in the sky. The frequentist approach, best exemplified by the kernel estimators, has excellent asymptotic characteristics but it is very sensitive to the choice of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Carlos C. Rodriguez

We propose a new empirical Bayes approach for inference in the $p \gg n$ normal linear model. The novelty is the use of data in the prior in two ways, for centering and regularization. Under suitable sparsity assumptions, we establish a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Ryan Martin , Raymond Mess , Stephen G. Walker

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-25 Cedric Archambeau , Francis Bach

We consider a Boolean model $Z$ driven by a Poisson particle process $\eta$ on a metric space $\mathbb{Y}$. We study the random variable $\rho(Z)$, where $\rho$ is a (deterministic) measure on $\mathbb{Y}$. Due to the interaction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Günter Last , Fabian Gieringer

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

We prove that the size of the e-core of a partition taken under the Poissonised Plancherel measure converges in distribution to, as the Poisson parameter goes to infinity and after a suitable renormalisation, a sum of e-1 mutually…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Salim Rostam

Searches for faint signals in counting experiments are often encountered in particle physics and astrophysics, as well as in other fields. Many problems can be reduced to the case of a model with independent and Poisson-distributed signal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-14 Diego Casadei , Cornelius Grunwald , Kevin Kröninger , Florian Mentzel

We derive joint factorial moment identities for point processes with Papangelou intensities. Our proof simplifies previous approaches to related moment identities and includes the setting of Poisson point processes. Applications are given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Jean-Christophe Breton , Nicolas Privault

In the regression model $Y = b(X) +\sigma(X)\varepsilon$, where $X$ has a density $f$, this paper deals with an oracle inequality for an estimator of $bf$, involving a kernel in the sense of Lerasle et al. (2016), selected via the PCO…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

The prevailing statistical approach to analyzing persistence diagrams is concerned with filtering out topological noise. In this paper, we adopt a different viewpoint and aim at estimating the actual distribution of a random persistence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Weichen Wu , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider the problem of estimating cross-spectral quantities in the low-frequency regime, where long observation times limit averaging over large ensembles of periodograms, thereby preventing the use of approximate Gaussian statistics.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Lorenzo Sala , Stefano Vitale

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud