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A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios

We present an approximate Bayesian inference approach for estimating the intensity of an inhomogeneous Poisson process, where the intensity function is modelled using a Gaussian process (GP) prior via a sigmoid link function. Augmenting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-06 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

The Cox process is a stochastic process which generalises the Poisson process by letting the underlying intensity function itself be a stochastic process. In this paper we present a fast Bayesian inference scheme for the permanental…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-07 Christian J. Walder , Adrian N. Bishop

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Counting processes often written $N=(N_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}^+}$ are used in several applications of biostatistics, notably for the study of chronic diseases. In the case of respiratory illness it is natural to suppose that the count of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Gaspar Massiot

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

We consider Bayesian nonparametric density estimation using a Pitman-Yor or a normalized inverse-Gaussian process kernel mixture as the prior distribution for a density. The procedure is studied from a frequentist perspective. Using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Catia Scricciolo

We propose a novel continuous testing framework to test the intensities of Poisson Processes. This framework allows a rigorous definition of the complete testing procedure, from an infinite number of hypothesis to joint error rates. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Franck Picard , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Roquain

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

We investigate continuum percolation for Cox point processes, that is, Poisson point processes driven by random intensity measures. First, we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of non-trivial sub- and super-critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali

Kernel method-based intensity estimators, formulated within reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs), and classical kernel intensity estimators (KIEs) have been among the most easy-to-implement and feasible methods for estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Hideaki Kim , Tomoharu Iwata , Akinori Fujino

In this paper, we apply the Stein's method in the context of point processes, namely when the target measure is the distribution of a finite Poisson point process. We show that the so-called Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Aurélien Vasseur

In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Marianne Clausel , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jérôme Lelong

In a previous paper, we studied a kernel estimate of the upper edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, based upon the extreme values of a Poisson point process. The initial paper "Geffroy J. (1964) Sur un probl\`eme d'estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

The Papangelou intensities of determinantal (or fermion) point processes are investigated. These exhibit a monotonicity property expressing the repulsive nature of the interaction, and satisfy a bound implying stochastic domination by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-16 Hans-Otto Georgii , Hyun Jae Yoo

We present a rigorous description of the general problem of aperture photometry in high energy astrophysics photon-count images, in which the statistical noise model is Poisson, not Gaussian. We compute the full posterior probability…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 F. A. Primini , V. L. Kashyap
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