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This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

Discoveries of the scale-free and small-world features are reported on a network constructed from the seismic data. It is shown that the connectivity distribution decays as a power law, and the value of the degrees of separation, i.e., the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We analyze the memory in volatility by studying volatility return intervals, defined as the time between two consecutive fluctuations larger than a given threshold, in time periods following stock market crashes. Such an aftercrash period…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Philipp Weber , Fengzhong Wang , Irena Vodenska-Chitkushev , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Fast and accurate structural dynamics analysis is important for structural design and damage assessment. Structural dynamics analysis leveraging machine learning techniques has become a popular research focus in recent years. Although the…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-12-29 Yuan Feng , Hexiang Wang , Han Yang , Fangbo Wang

A general dynamical cluster identification framework including both modeling and computation is developed. The earthquake declustering problem is studied to demonstrate how this framework applies. A stochastic model is proposed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Zhengxiao Wu

If we assume that earthquakes are chaotic, and influenced locally then chaos theory suggests that there should be a temporal association between earthquakes in a local region that should be revealed with statistical examination. To date no…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 Parsa Rastin , Michael LuValle

It is shown that due to memory effects the complex behaviour of components in a stochastic system can be transmitted to macroscopic evolution of the system as a whole. Within the Markov approximation widely using in ordinary statistical…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 A. A. Stanislavsky

Temporal networks are widely used models for describing the architecture of complex systems. Network memory -- that is the dependence of a temporal network's structure on its past -- has been shown to play a prominent role in diffusion,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Oliver E. Williams , Lucas Lacasa , Ana P. Millán , Vito Latora

In this study, we propose an analysis of the earthquake clusters that occurred in North-Eastern Italy and western Slovenia from 1977 to today. Given a mainshock generating alarm in the population, we are interested in forecasting if a…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 S. Gentili , R. Di Giovambattista

The decay rate of aftershocks is commonly very well described by the modified Omori law, $n(t) \propto t^{-p}$, where n(t) is the number of aftershocks per unit time, t is the time after the main shock, and p is a constant in the range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Y. Moreno , A. Correig , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other earthquakes have raised the hope that large earthquakes may be…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

Holistic analysis of many real-world problems are based on data collected from multiple sources contributing to some aspect of that problem. The word fusion has also been used in the literature for such problems involving disparate data…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Abhishek Santra , Sanjukta Bhowmick , Sharma Chakravarthy

Analysis of the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake on 26.12.2004 (M = 9) has allowed us to identify two non- trivial properties of the dynamics of aftershocks. First, the strongest aftershock (M = 7.2) was likely triggered by the round-the-world…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-17 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov , A. D. Zavyalov

In this doctoral thesis, we investigate the complex interplay between temporal dynamics associated with aging and memory and their effects on social and economic systems. To do so, we combine theoretical modeling, to explore the aging…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-25 David Abella

The study of networks plays a crucial role in investigating the structure, dynamics, and function of a wide variety of complex systems in myriad disciplines. Despite the success of traditional network analysis, standard networks provide a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-05 Manlio De Domenico , Clara Granell , Mason A. Porter , Alex Arenas

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event.…

The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang

Earthquake network is known to be of the small-world type. The values of the network characteristics, however, depend not only on the cell size (i.e., the scale of coarse graining needed for constructing the network) but also on the size of…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Sumiyoshi Abe , Denisse Pasten , Norikazu Suzuki

Time series are characterized by complex memory and/or distribution patterns. In this letter we show that models obeying to different statistics may equally reproduce some pattern of a time series. In particular we discuss the difference…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West